GLOBAL DEBT – FLIGHT of the DEBT ICARUS…

BOND YIELDS  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

8.06.2019 –  GLOBAL DEBT – NEGATIVE YIELD OUTBREAK…

15.06.2019 –  GLOBAL DEBT – YIELD RUSH…

with

ATA Following …

6.07.2019 –  JAPAN BOND YIELD – Enigmatic Letters from Debt Iwo Jima…

6.07.2019 –SWISS BOND YIELD – HELVETIC SAFE HAVEN RUSH…

6.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – Deutschland Deutschland unter Alles…

7.07.2019 –  ITALIAN BOND YIELD – ECB DOLCE VITA DEBT STORY…

7.07.2019 –  EUROZONE PIGS BOND YIELDS – PIGGIES FLIGHT on ECB VERBAL WINGS…

7.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH PROBABILITY RISING …

&

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

20.06.2019 –PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Bets on Global Central Easing…

22.06.2019 –  EUR/USD – BROKEN F/X DEADLOCK…

23.06.2019 – DXY – FED RATE CUT AHEAD…

 

 

BOND YIELDS   Present  Picture 

Global Hunting any Positive Yields 

No Risks on Investment Process 

still Active

WATERFALL Patterns

 

Main Motives

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

&

Global Dovish & Dovisher Central Banks Moves 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with Rate Cut Voices on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

with

RBNZ ( New Zealand ) May Rate Cut 

RBA ( Australia )  June & July  Rate Cut

RBI ( India ) June Rate Cut

CBR ( Russia ) June Rate Cut

&

TRUMP Trade War

US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

with

IRAN  & NORTH KOREA Risks 

RUSSIA – TURKEY S400 System  

RUSSIA – INDIA  S400 System  

 

 

First…

ATA from 15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! “

 

ATA from 15.06.2019

” in Present GLOBAL YIELD RUSH…

Most Important is Last Master Low 

in Most Yield Markets – 2016 Year Low…

with

10Y  US Bond Yield

Present Psychological Key Level 2%  ”

 

&

ATA Tweets…

RBA Dovish Verdict

Reserve Bank Of Australia Cuts Cash Rate Target by 25bps to 1.0%,

but

AUD Rising..for Now

AUD/USD Test 0.70 ( 0.6993 )

DXY > 96 (96.25)

GOLD < 1400 (1396)

Most Important Final SM Move-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/DUBKAmQjRe

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 2, 2019

GLOBAL CENTRAL EASING WAVE ON

after

RBA Cut Rate

&

USD Fighting

DXY > 96 (96.28)

EUR/USD > 1.13 (1.1305)

GOLD < 1400 (1395)

Nasdaq Fut Back < 7800 (7770)

US 10Y Yield > 2.00% (2.018)

Most Important Final SM Move-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/IgplF7amnk

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 2, 2019

LAGARDE – Real New ECB Dovish Face…

but

No EUR/USD Dynamic Reaction

still in 1.13 Key Level Zone

DXY > 96 (96.25)

EUR/USD in 1.13 (1.1293)

GOLD > 1400 (1423)

Nasdaq Fut > 7800 (7859)

US 10Y Yield < 2.00% (1.958)

Most Important Final SM Move-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/V355zIWzA3

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 3, 2019

Italian Socialist in EURO Socialism…

David Sassoli – New President of Europe Parliament

Italian Show must go on…!!!

Italy 10Y Bond Yield 1.70

but

EUR/USD 1.1288

like always

Most Important Final Smart Money Reaction pic.twitter.com/dkzA4fEl3H

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 3, 2019

EURO PRINTING is EVERYTHING " for Now…

but remember

in the Future that can be NOTHING…

Italy 10Y Bond Yield 1.70

vs

US 10Y Bond Yield 1.96

of course

EUR/USD 1.1295

GOLD 1420 USD pic.twitter.com/RbvzaEQ3Ja

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 3, 2019

EURO CURRENCY = EUROZONE STUFF

&

Present Key Levels

EUR/USD < 1.13 (1.1295)

vs

GOLD > 1400 (1419) pic.twitter.com/1XhTXwrDrf

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 3, 2019

EUROZONE DEBT RUSH by ECB

never forget

Every Rush has his End

GERMANISATION "better" than JAPANIFICATION

German 10Y Bond Yield – 0.401%

France 10Y Bond Yield – 0.135%

vs

Japan 10Y Bond Yield – 0.153%

&

EUR/USD < 1.13 (1.1285)

GOLD > 1400 (1417)

Focus EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/kszJv0ce8A

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 4, 2019

Eurofication after Japanification – German Debt Action sponsored by ECB

German 10Y Bond Yield – 0.399%

France 10Y Bond Yield – 0.131%

vs

Japan 10Y Bond Yield – 0.151%

&

EUR/USD < 1.13 (1.1283)

GOLD > 1400 (1418)

Focus EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/dbAD7iR63R

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 4, 2019

High Probability Scenario for Global..special Eurozone Negative Yield Debt Market…

never forget

Every Rush has the End…

like

Gold Rush…https://t.co/IANMcULhJ7

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 5, 2019

GLOBAL DEBT TWILIGHT ZONE …

New Record 13 Trillion USD of Global Negative Yield Bonds…

other words

DEBT BUBBLE sponsored by Central Banks… pic.twitter.com/lFAiGtDygQ

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 5, 2019

FED vs FED FUND FUTURES Show must go on…

Kudlow Hawkish Strike Back

FED should take back RATE HIKE…!!!

&

EUR/USD still Falling

DXY Test 97 Zone (96.95)

EUR/USD Test 1.12 Zone (1.1215)

GOLD < 1400 (1391)

Most Important Final SM Move-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/BkXgXQIMJD

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 5, 2019

US DEBT AMBUSH DEJA VU….

after

US Job & Kudlow Strikes

–

US 10Y Bond Yield Dynamic Back again > Psychological Key Level 2.00%

Now 2.055%

&

DXY still Rising

DXY Test 97 Zone (96.95)

vs

GOLD still Falling

GOLD < 1400 (1390) pic.twitter.com/FfJjANNWgm

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 5, 2019

GOLDMAN SACHS – FED Verbal Strikes Back

Fed July Meeting

75% Chance Rate Cut
60% – 25Bp
15% – 50Bp
25% – No Change

&

DXY & US Yield Stop Rising

DXY Test 97 Zone (96.95)

US 10Y Bond Yield > 2.00% (2.048)

vs

GOLD Stop Falling

GOLD < 1400 (1398)

Focus EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/eLdJMzPif1

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 5, 2019

GLOBAL DEBT BUBBLE

created by

CENTRALLY PLANNED CENTRAL BANKS EASING VERDICTS

with

Negative Yield Bonds

German 10Y Bond Yield – 0.365%

France 10Y Bond Yield – 092%

&

Swiss 10Y Bond Yield – 0.637%

Japan 10Y Bond Yield – 0.155%

vs

US 10Y Bond Yield 2.039% pic.twitter.com/huuMy9oMzW

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 6, 2019

Italy escapes EU Budget Sanction Procedure…

" Thanks Eurozone Gods "

for Now Dolce Vita…

but

Future… pic.twitter.com/AeDOtuEWtw

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 7, 2019

Global Bonds Bubble creating by Dovish & Dovisher Central Banks… pic.twitter.com/BdV2Z859My

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) July 7, 2019

 

 

 

Second…Present  GLOBAL BOND YIELDS   Situation 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern

 

 

First…Main Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

BOND YIELDS WATERFALL Pattern

still Active on

GLOBAL YIELD RUSH…

vs

2B Pattern – Last Tweet 

or

Invert 2B Pattern on Yields Charts 

Now with

2 MAIN GROUPS – 10Y BOND YIELD  

1-st – Above 2016 Year Low 

10Y Japan Bond Yield – Negative Zone

10Y  US Bond Yield

10Y  Italian Bond Yield

10Y  India Bond Yield

10Y  Russia Bond Yield

10Y  China Bond Yield

 

2-nd – Under 2016 Year Low 

10Y  German Bond Yield – Negative Zone

10Y  Australia Bond Yield

10Y  New Zealand Bond Yield

10Y Swiss Bond Yield – Negative Zone

10Y  France Bond Yield – Negative Zone

with

Special   ” Amazing “

10Y  Greece Bond Yield

10Y  Portugal Bond Yield

10Y  Spain Bond Yield

 

 

ATA GLOBAL DEBT  Investment Conclusion 

in Present GLOBAL HUNTING YIELD …

Most Important is Last Master Low 

in Most Yield Markets – 2016 Year Low…

with

10Y  US Bond Yield

Present Psychological Key Level 2% 

 

Special Remember

in Danger Real Probability Scenario…

in 2-nd Group …

special in German France  & PIGS  Yields

Most Danger can happend 

will be

Dynamic Back above 2016 Year Low 

This will Start

ESCAPE from DEBT…!!!

It will be Sign of

DEBT AMBUSH  

with

Baskerville Dog  Rising Move…

&

Finally

Loss of Faith in Central Banks ” Printing Drug “…!!!

like on the Movie

The Big Short

after this

Only True Option on the Market Table

will be

Chernobyl

 

of course

Financial Chernobyl 

always remember

Lehman Fall & Subprime Crisis  was the Process… 

&

Debt Change Key Direction is the Process…

 

for Now one more time…

Master Questions : 

Is Faith in Immortal Central Banks enough

to Save

First..Debt 

Second…Equities 

Finally Global Financial System …!!???

 

What Smart Money Investors know…

that 

escape to Debt even with Negative Yields…!!???

 

What’s Wrong with EUROZONE…!!???

when you look through the Prizm of German Yield…

&

Finally

When this DEBT BUBBLE  Burst …!!???

 

Charts show you First…!!!

that’s why

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

 

Never Forget

Every Rush has his End …!!!

like

Gold Rush…

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Key Month July

 

 

10Y Japan Bond Yield , 10Y Swiss Bond Yield , 10Y  German Bond Yield

10Y  US Bond Yield & 10Y  Italian Bond Yield Monthly & Weekly Charts :

7.06.2019 

 

10Y Japan Bond Yield , 10Y Swiss Bond Yield , 10Y  German Bond Yield

10Y  US Bond Yield , 10Y  Italian Bond Yield 10Y , France Bond Yield

10Y  Spain Bond Yield  , 10Y Portugal Bond Yield & 10Y Greece Bond Yield

10Y  Australia Bond Yield , 10Y  New Zealand Bond Yield

10Y  India Bond Yield , 10Y  Russia Bond Yield

Monthly Charts –  Italian Weekly Chart :

14.06.2019 

 

10Y Japan Bond Yield , 10Y Swiss Bond Yield , 10Y  German Bond Yield

10Y  US Bond Yield , 10Y  Italian Bond Yield 10Y , France Bond Yield

10Y  Spain Bond Yield  , 10Y Portugal Bond Yield & 10Y Greece Bond Yield

10Y  Australia Bond Yield , 10Y  New Zealand Bond Yield

10Y  India Bond Yield , 10Y  Russia Bond Yield, 10Y China Bond Yield

Monthly Charts –  Italian Weekly Chart :

5.07.2019

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