DXY – FED RATE CUT AHEAD…

DXY –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

from…

14.02.2018  –  DXY – Close Encounters of the Third Kind…

16.02.2018  –  DXY – The Thin Red Line…

17.03.2018  –  DXY – RISING STAR…

22.03.2018  – FED – THE DAY AFTER US CENTRAL MOTIVE…

27.04.2018  –  DXY – STILL STANDING…

to…

27.05.2018  –  DXY – BIG WAVE UP SURFING…BUT…

7.06.2018  –  DXY – KING IS TIRED…

13.06.2018  – DXY – FED BIG BADA BUM…!!!

16.06.2018  –  DXY – MASTER KEY TO ALL EM DOORS…

17.06.2018  – DXY – EM Currency Side of American Dollar…

23.06.2018  – DXY – SHOT DOWN…

30.06.2018  – DXY – REAL FALLING AGAINST MAINSTREAM MEDIA ” KING ” VOICES…

15.07.2018 –  DXY-STILL LOSING MOMENTUM…

18.07.2018  –  DXY – POWELL – FED MOTIVE…

19.07.2018  –  DXY – NO F/X AIR FLOW…

22.07.2018  – DXY – TRUMP SHOT DOWN…

23.07.2018 –  DXY after G20 Argentina Meeting…

with Last…

1.08.2018  –  DXY vs FED CENTRAL FACTOR…

2.08.2018  – DXY after FED & POWELL…

11.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X NORTHERN STAR for EM CURRENCIES…

12.08.2018 –  DXY -TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

18.08.2018 –  DXY vs EM CURRENCIES on TURKISH RATING DOUBLE IMPACT…

19.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X SAFE HAVEN…

21.08.2018 –  DXY – SHOT DOWN by TRUMP…

23.08.2018 –  DXY – HAWKISH FED MINUTES…

25.08.2018  –  DXY vs All the President’s Men…

28.08.2018 –  DXY – F/X EXECUTION…

15.09.2018  –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

20.11.2018 –  DXY – MORE & MORE DANGER GREEN TRACK…

20.01.2019 –  DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…

&

20.03.2019 –  DXY – SECULAR TREND… before & beyond FED – POWELL Verbal Action…

23.03.2019 – DXY – SECULAR TREND… after & beyond FED – POWELL Verbal Action…

28.03.2019 –  DXY – SECULAR VIEW with Last Months of F/X VERDUN…

31.03.2019 –  DXY – F/X MARATHON ELITE…

10.06.2019 –  DXY after FED & TRUMP Verbal Sparks…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

DXY 

Main Central Motives

 

FED Game Changer 

after

All Last 2018 Year  Hawkish FED – FED RATE HIKES 

&

FED-  Powell Dovish  – FED TIME GAME 

Now dominating

FED Dovisher –  Last Meeting – FED  RATE CUT  AHEAD

 

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on  Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE Rate Cut Draghi Verbal on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR

US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP – USD Overvalued Tweet – New Verbal USD Strike

 

RUSSIA & CHINA Buying Gold 

vs

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

&

US – IRAN  War of Nerves 

IRAN  War  Risk 

vs

TRADE HOPE

G20 Japan  Osaka Meeting ( June 28 – 29 ) 

TRUMP – XI -“Extended Meeting” with Xi Next Week – G20

with

BREXIT Risk Saga

&

IMF Lagarde EUROZONE Warning

vs

ITALIAN RISK ON News

Signs EC will hold off on Disciplinary Action over Italy Budget

 

with

USD Rising Arguments from other  Markets

special

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO

22.06.2019 –  EUR/USD – BROKEN F/X DEADLOCK…

UK  – BREXIT – UK Pound 

18.06.2019 –  UK POUND – after MAY Gone HARD BREXIT FEAR Strikes Back…

&

EM CURRENCIES 

2.06.2019 –  EM CURRENCIES – SILENCE before the DXY STORM …

with

GOLD – SILVER Vector 

20.06.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Bets on Global Central Easing…

DEBT Vector 

22.06.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – from DEBT RUSH to DEBT AMBUSH…

 

N-times…

FED is Not Only US..is Global Central Bank…

which protects

All Global Financial & Monetary System…

 

BARRON'S - USD EASY MONEY BACK

 

First

ATA from  10.06.2019

” Break F/X  Silence  Last  2 Months April – May

in 98 Key Level 

with

Two Monthly ( April – May ) Candlesticks with Upper Shadow 

EOM < 98 Key Level 

&

Active DXY PLAN B 

First..No Rising above 98 Key Level ( EOM )

Second… Falling under 98

Finally…Activated 2B Pattern in 97.70 – 98 Key Levels Zone “

 

&

ATA Tweets  chronological…

with

Special…

 

 

Second…Present  DXY  Situation 

 

First…Main Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Secular View 

first of all

SECULAR ENDING DIAGONAL 

with

still Active DXY VERDUN 

by

LAST…

Break F/X  Silence  Last  2 Months April – May

in 98 Key Level 

with

Two Monthly ( April – May ) Candlesticks with Upper Shadow 

EOM < 98 Key Level 

with

Active DXY PLAN B 

First..No Rising above 98 Key Level ( EOM )

Second… Falling under 98

Finally…Activated 2B Pattern in 97.70 – 98 Key Levels Zone

&

LATEST…

Strong Falling Wave 

Big Body Bear Monthly June Candlestick 

vs

still above Key MA

1-st Key Support Zone – Low January 2019  

2-nd Key Support Zone – Tops October & November 2017 

Psychological  Key Levels  Zone  96 –  95.50 –  95  

with

Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

DXY  May  EOM – 97.75

Now Testing Key Level  96.00  ( 96.09 ) 

so

still Special Focus on 

Secular Trend Chart 

DXY VERDUN 

Key Support Zone  96 -95.50 – 95  

vs

Key Resistance Zone  97  &  97.70 – 98

1-st  Half of  Body Bear Monthly June Candlestick 

Key Level 97.00 

 

 

Active Monitoring 

DXY  Key Levels  97  vs  96 -95.50 -95  

in combination to

US 10Y  Bond Yield – Psychological Key Level 2.00% 

 

H4 , EOD , EOW & of course EOM –  now June

 

remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

 

 

 

DXY Monthly  Charts :

20.03.2019 – before the FOMC

DXY - M - Secular

 

DXY - M - Secular - Line

22.03.2019 – after the FOMC – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

28.03.2019 – Start European Session 

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

29.03.2019 – EOM – March

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - FocusDXY - M - Secular - Focus - FocusDXY - M - Secular - LineDXY - M - Secular - Line - FocusDXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

10.06.2019 – Before Start American Session 

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

21.06.2019 – after the FOMC Meeting – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus.png

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