GLOBAL DEBT – NEGATIVE YIELD OUTBREAK…

BOND YIELDS  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Following …

BOND YIELDS 

30.03.2019 –  JAPAN DEBT – JAPANIFICATION in ACTION…

31.03.2019 –  SWISS DEBT – SNB NIRP POLICY…

31.03.2019 –  GERMAN DEBT – JAPANIFICATION SCENARIO …

29.05.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Awakening & Run to Safe Haven…

&

ITALIAN YIELD

6.06.2019 –  ITALIAN ASSETS in ITALO DISCO BEAT…

with

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

&

3.05.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – F/X Anti USD & Save Haven Pathfinder…

 

 

BOND YIELDS WATERFALL Pattern 

still Active

Main Motives

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

FED  vs  ECB  ,  SNB & BOJ Monetary Policy

&

TRUMP Trade War

Activated  US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

with

IRAN  NORTH KOREA Risks 

RUSSIA – TURKEY S400 System  

RUSSIA – INDIA  S400 System  

vs

US Diplomatic Conflict 

&

Present G20 Japan Summit 

 

bond-market

 

First…ATA Tweets

 

 

Second…Present  BOND YIELDS   Situation 

 

 

First…Main Motives

above in this text…

&

text below…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

 

10Y JAPAN BOND YIELD

Japan Motives

NIRP by BOJ 

MEGA JAPAN QE

BOJ Balance Sheet > 100% GDP

NEVER ENDING QUANTITATIVE EASING. by BOJ

BOJ – 4 Options for More Easing

 

Japan Technical  Patterns 

Secular Bearish Trend  

after Rising Contraction Back do Wave Down 

with

Last 3 Years Horizon Channel :

Key Support Zone  – 0.20%  -0.22%  from 6.2016

vs

Key Resistance Zone  0%  &  0.12%  from 9.2018 

&

Monthly MACD  Sell Signal 

 

10Y  SWISS  BOND YIELD

Swiss Motives

Global – US  & EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

SNB –  NIRP – Ultra Dovish Policy 

 

Swiss Technical  Patterns 

Secular Bearish Trend  

with

almost 2 Years Rising Correction

from  6.2016   -0.577%  ; Low -0.652%

to  4.2018  0.09% ;  High 0.176%

after

End of Rising Contraction

Back do Wave Down 

with

Testing  Key Low Zone

6.2016   -0.577%  ; Low -0.652%

&

Monthly MACD  Sell Signal 

 

10Y GERMAN BOND YIELD

German Motives

ECB DRAGHI – New TLTRO III

EUROZONE Recession Risk 

Economic Cycle Peak Risk 

 

German Technical  Patterns 

Secular Bearish Trend  

with

1 Year & 6 months  Rising Correction

from  6.2016   -0.127%  ; Low -0.170%

to  1.2018  0.697% ;  High 0.707%

after

End of Rising Contraction

Back do Wave Down 

with

Break Down  Key Low 

6.2016   -0.127%  ; Low -0.170%

&

Monthly MACD  Sell Signal 

 

10Y  US  BOND YIELD

US Motives

Global & US  Slowdown  & Recession Risk

FED Back to Rate Cut Cycle  Active Scenario 

 

US Technical  Patterns 

After Activated 

Long Term 2B Risk Off Pattern

in Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

&

Ending Diagonal Break 

in score

Dynamic Wave Down Continuation

Now Testing

Psychological  2.00% Key Level Zone 

September 2017 Low 

with

Monthly MACD  Sell Signal 

&

Open Option of

Wave Down Acceleration 

&

Test Key Low Zone

7.2016   1.45%  ; Low  1.45%

 

10Y  ITALIAN  BOND YIELD

Italian Motives

EU Triggers Disciplinary Process to ITALY over Public Debt

Italian Debt – ‘Snowball’ Effect Risk  

vs

ECB DRAGHI – New TLTRO III

 

Italian Technical  Patterns 

H&S Top Pattern – Neckline 2.69%

vs

Bullish Trendline – Key Level 2.23%

with

MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

 

 

ATA GLOBAL DEBT  Investment Conclusion 

GLOBAL DEBT – NEGATIVE YIELD OUTBREAK…

even

Italian Debt Yield Falling…

 

Master Questions : 

Is Faith in Immortal Central Banks enough

to

Save

First..Debt 

Second…Equities 

 & 

Finally Global Financial System …!!???

 

What Smart Moeny Investors know…

that 

escape to Debt even with Negative Yields…!!???

 

What’s Wrong with EUROZONE…!!???

when you look through the prizm of German Yield…

&

Finally

When this DEBT BUBBLE  Burst …!!???

 

 

always remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Key Month June

 

 

10Y Japan Bond Yield , 10Y Swiss Bond Yield , 10Y  German Bond Yield

10Y  US Bond Yield & 10Y  Italian Bond Yield Monthly & Weekly Charts :

7.06.2019 

Japan Yield - M

Swiss Yield - M

German Yield - M

US Yield - M

ITALY 10Y YIELD - W - Line

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