SWISS FRANC – BIG WAITING for GLOBAL SPARK…

SWISS FRANC  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

SWISS STORY   2013  –  2016

SWISS STORM…

” European Recovery ” vs EUR/CHF…

OIL & GOLD FACTORS – RUSSIAN RULETTE & SWISS BLACK JACK

US DOLLAR PEAK vs SWISS FRANC & OIL FREAK…

SWISS FRANC UPDATE…

CHF – ( ENDLESS..!!??? ) SWISS KISS…

&

Last

20.09 2018  –  SWISS FRANC Strategic Picture vs SNB Efforts…

29.09.2018  –  SWISS SAFE HAVEN…

14.10.2018  –  SWISS FRANC still on the CURRENCY WAVE…

15.11.2018 –  SWISS FRANC – NO NEW RISK OFF SIGNS…

17.01.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – NO RISK OFF REVENGE…

with

ATA Following …

SWISS ASSETS 

31.03.2019 – SWISS DEBT – SNB NIRP POLICY…

29.05.2019 –  SMI – SWISS MADE RELATIVE STRENGTH …

YEN

10.05.2019 –  YEN after BOJ – KURODA & TRUMP with IRAN & NORTH KOREA STRIKES…

DXY Index & EUR/USD

31.03.2019 –  DXY – F/X MARATHON ELITE…

26.05.2019 – EUR/USD – European Political New Arrangement Risk…

US YIELD 

29.05.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Awakening & Run to Safe Haven…

 

 

SWISS FRANC Master Motive

Global RISK OFF Wave  but  Not Yet Panic Symptoms…

with

Swiss Assets  Relative Strength 

vs

other Global Currencies…special…

EURO  – EUROZONE Economy..First Italy even German Problems 

USD – Trump Trade War

GBP – BREXIT Saga 

 

SWISS

 

First…ATA from  17.01.2019

” CHF – Both RISK OFF  Vectors   still  OFF 

  vs

Global December RISK OFF

of course

CHF  still is  CURRENCY SAFE HAVEN…

but Now …

Investors  still don’t Escape to this  SAFE CURRENCY 

USD/CHF  &  EUR/CHF  

still dominated

STOP  RISK OFF Reaction 

even if

Mainstream Media  still created 

New BREXIT, EUROZONE, ITALY & GLOBAL RISKS… “

 

Second…Present  SWISS FRANC  Situation 

 

First…Main Motives

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

FED  vs ECB & BOJ Monetary Policy

&

TRUMP Trade War

Tariffs Trump Key Tweet 

New US Tariffs

New China Tariffs 

&

IRAN – AMERICAN STRIKE RISK

NORTH KOREA RISK Back 

with

Special SWISS FRANC Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

SWISS FRANC FUTURES  ( Monthly  Chart )

still Active  RISK ON Secular  H&S  Pattern

Present Master Psychological  Key Level  1.00 

with

Lower Key Levels : 0.99 &  0.97 

&

still Active Monthly MACD Sell Signal

vs

RISK OFF Wedge Pattern ( January 2018 –  Present – June 2019 )

with

Key Level 1.0030-50 Zone 

 

USD/CHF & EUR/CHF 

No SWISS  Domination  vs  Consolidation 

( Monthly  Charts )

 

EUR/CHF –  Key Levels :  1.11 & 1.10  

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

 

USD/CHF –  Psychological  Key Level 1.00  & 0.98

MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

stricte Cross Currency Move

from  EUR/USD

 

GBP/CHF –  Main Key Level  1.25 

MACD Monthly Buy  Signal  but  near to Active Sell

with

Risk of  Real Scenario  H&S Pattern – Neckline 1.25 

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

SWISS FRANC –  Global RISK OFF  Motives  didn’t  Strong Strike..

Yet to Active 

CHF  Dynamic  Rising Wave 

of course

CHF  still is  CURRENCY SAFE HAVEN…

but Now …still  after 5 Months 2019

Investors  don’t Escape to this  SAFE CURRENCY 

 

USD/CHF    EUR/CHF   &  GBP/CHF

still dominated

No  RISK OFF dynamic  Reaction –  Consolidation 

even if

Mainstream Media  still created 

New BREXIT, EUROZONE, ITALY & GLOBAL RISKS… 

 

SWISS FRANC Present Active Range

SWISS FRANC  Key Levels  

USD/CHF   0.98  vs  1.00   

EUR/CHF   1.10 – 1.11  vs   1.13 – 1.15 

GBP/CHF    1.25  vs   1.28 

 

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now June 

 

don’t forget

Chart is Worth more than Thousand Words…

never forget

Risk Strikes Fast…Very Fast…

always remember

SWISS FRANC  is  still  , more than 10 years after Lehman, Special  RISK ON/OFF  Vector  for Wall Street  & other Equities…

15.09.2018 –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

SWISS FRANC  Long  Term Monthly Charts :

28.09.2013 –  Swiss Franc Futures 

sf_f_w (1)

sf_f_d

2.02.2014 –  EUR/CHF 

eurchf_m

18.01.2015 –  Swiss Franc  Futures 

SWISS FRANC M

13.06.2016 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

EURCHF(Monthly)20160613142839

USDCHF(Monthly)20160613143337

20.09.2018 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

EUR-CHF -M

USD-CHF -M

28.09.2018 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

EUR-CHF -M-1

USD-CHF -M-1

12.10.2018 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

USD-CHF -M

EUR-CHF -M

15.10.2018 –  EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES

EUR-CHF -MUSD-CHF -M

GBP-CHF -M

CHF FUT - M

17.01.2019 –  EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES

eur-chf -musd-chf -mgbp-chf -mchf fut - mchf fut - line - m

3.06.2019 –  EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES

EUR-CHF - M

USD-CHF - M

GBP-CHF - M

CHF FUT - M

CHF FUT - M - Line

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