SWISS FRANC – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
SWISS STORY 2013 – 2016
” European Recovery ” vs EUR/CHF…
OIL & GOLD FACTORS – RUSSIAN RULETTE & SWISS BLACK JACK
US DOLLAR PEAK vs SWISS FRANC & OIL FREAK…
CHF – ( ENDLESS..!!??? ) SWISS KISS…
&
Last
20.09 2018 – SWISS FRANC Strategic Picture vs SNB Efforts…
29.09.2018 – SWISS SAFE HAVEN…
14.10.2018 – SWISS FRANC still on the CURRENCY WAVE…
15.11.2018 – SWISS FRANC – NO NEW RISK OFF SIGNS…
17.01.2019 – SWISS FRANC – NO RISK OFF REVENGE…
with
ATA Following …
SWISS ASSETS
31.03.2019 – SWISS DEBT – SNB NIRP POLICY…
29.05.2019 – SMI – SWISS MADE RELATIVE STRENGTH …
YEN
10.05.2019 – YEN after BOJ – KURODA & TRUMP with IRAN & NORTH KOREA STRIKES…
DXY Index & EUR/USD
31.03.2019 – DXY – F/X MARATHON ELITE…
26.05.2019 – EUR/USD – European Political New Arrangement Risk…
US YIELD
29.05.2019 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – Awakening & Run to Safe Haven…
SWISS FRANC Master Motive
Global RISK OFF Wave but Not Yet Panic Symptoms…
with
Swiss Assets Relative Strength
vs
other Global Currencies…special…
EURO – EUROZONE Economy..First Italy even German Problems
USD – Trump Trade War
GBP – BREXIT Saga
First…ATA from 17.01.2019
” CHF – Both RISK OFF Vectors still OFF
vs
Global December RISK OFF
of course
CHF still is CURRENCY SAFE HAVEN…
but Now …
Investors still don’t Escape to this SAFE CURRENCY
USD/CHF & EUR/CHF
still dominated
STOP RISK OFF Reaction
even if
Mainstream Media still created
New BREXIT, EUROZONE, ITALY & GLOBAL RISKS… “
Second…Present SWISS FRANC Situation
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…
ATA MARKET MODEL :
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Main Motives
Global & US – EU Slowdown & Recession Risk
FED vs ECB & BOJ Monetary Policy
&
TRUMP Trade War
Tariffs Trump Key Tweet
New US Tariffs
New China Tariffs
&
IRAN – AMERICAN STRIKE RISK
NORTH KOREA RISK Back
with
Special SWISS FRANC Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
SWISS FRANC FUTURES ( Monthly Chart )
still Active RISK ON Secular H&S Pattern
Present Master Psychological Key Level 1.00
with
Lower Key Levels : 0.99 & 0.97
&
still Active Monthly MACD Sell Signal
vs
RISK OFF Wedge Pattern ( January 2018 – Present – June 2019 )
with
Key Level 1.0030-50 Zone
USD/CHF & EUR/CHF
No SWISS Domination vs Consolidation
( Monthly Charts )
EUR/CHF – Key Levels : 1.11 & 1.10
MACD Monthly Sell Signal
USD/CHF – Psychological Key Level 1.00 & 0.98
MACD Monthly Buy Signal
stricte Cross Currency Move
from EUR/USD
GBP/CHF – Main Key Level 1.25
MACD Monthly Buy Signal but near to Active Sell
with
Risk of Real Scenario H&S Pattern – Neckline 1.25
ATA Investment Conclusion
SWISS FRANC – Global RISK OFF Motives didn’t Strong Strike..
Yet to Active
CHF Dynamic Rising Wave
of course
CHF still is CURRENCY SAFE HAVEN…
but Now …still after 5 Months 2019
Investors don’t Escape to this SAFE CURRENCY
USD/CHF EUR/CHF & GBP/CHF
still dominated
No RISK OFF dynamic Reaction – Consolidation
even if
Mainstream Media still created
New BREXIT, EUROZONE, ITALY & GLOBAL RISKS…
SWISS FRANC Present Active Range
SWISS FRANC Key Levels
USD/CHF 0.98 vs 1.00
EUR/CHF 1.10 – 1.11 vs 1.13 – 1.15
GBP/CHF 1.25 vs 1.28
N – TIMES
Finally …
F/X Maxim
Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….
First…EOD-s
Second…EOW-s
Final…EOM – Now June
don’t forget
Chart is Worth more than Thousand Words…
never forget
Risk Strikes Fast…Very Fast…
always remember
SWISS FRANC is still , more than 10 years after Lehman, Special RISK ON/OFF Vector for Wall Street & other Equities…
15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…
SWISS FRANC Long Term Monthly Charts :
28.09.2013 – Swiss Franc Futures
2.02.2014 – EUR/CHF
18.01.2015 – Swiss Franc Futures
13.06.2016 – EUR/CHF & USD/CHF
20.09.2018 – EUR/CHF & USD/CHF
28.09.2018 – EUR/CHF & USD/CHF
12.10.2018 – EUR/CHF & USD/CHF
15.10.2018 – EUR/CHF ; USD/CHF ; GBP/CHF & SWISS FRANC FUTURES
17.01.2019 – EUR/CHF ; USD/CHF ; GBP/CHF & SWISS FRANC FUTURES
3.06.2019 – EUR/CHF ; USD/CHF ; GBP/CHF & SWISS FRANC FUTURES