RUSSIAN RUBLE – Above & Beyond RISK…

RUB   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

6.08.2015 –  MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…

12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

&

18.03.2018  –  RTS & RUB – RUSSIA TODAY…

11.04.2018  –  RED ASSETS – from RUSSIA with LOSS…

16.07.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – TRUMP – PUTIN GEOPOLITICAL FACTOR…

23.07.2018  –  RUBLE – RUSSIAN OIL & GEOPOLITICAL ROULETTE…

9.08.2018   –   RUBLE – TRUMP STRIKES BACK…

10.08.2018  –  RUB – AMERICAN F/X TARGET…

18.08.2018  –  RUB vs US SANCTIONS & OIL RISK OFF FACTORS…

26.08.2018  –  RUB vs TRUMP CURRENCY WAR…

10.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs American Financial Pressure…

12.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs VOSTOCK 2018…

15.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs CBR Rate Hike…

18.10.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs SANCTIONS with ITALIAN VERBAL HELP…

18.11.2018 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs OIL STRIKE…

19.01.2019 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – Relative Strength Rising…

with

ATA Following …

DXY Index & EUR/USD

31.03.2019 –  DXY – F/X MARATHON ELITE…

26.05.2019 – EUR/USD – European Political New Arrangement Risk…

OIL

28.04.2019 –  OIL – WASHINGTON vs TEHRAN CLASH…

US YIELD 

29.05.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Awakening & Run to Safe Haven…

 

 

RUB   

Active Present Motives 

RISK ON 

Bank of Russia possible Rate Cut Q2-Q3 2019

Inflation Peaked – Track to Slow

Moody’s Rating  Baa3 – Stable Outlook

€390 billion Plan – Overhaul Economy by 2024

FED & Powell Impulses – FED TIME GAME 2019

vs

RISK OFF 

all time Global Strength USD 

OIL Wave Down 

GDP  Slows to over 2-Year Low in Q1 2019 ( 0.5% ) 

Old & New Sanctions Risk

Ukraine – Donbass – Crimea Risk  

ROSJA

First…ATA from  19.01.2019

” NO NEW HIGH above Key Level  Psychological  70.00 USD 

M  Pattern  after  December Test of  70 

USD/RUB still Active Key Levels  are   65   vs    68  &  70  – 70.50    “

 

 

Second…Present  USD/RUB  Situation 

 

First…Main Motives

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

FED  vs ECB & BOJ Monetary Policy

&

TRUMP Trade War

Tariffs Trump Key Tweet 

New US Tariffs

New China Tariffs 

&

IRAN – AMERICAN STRIKE RISK

NORTH KOREA RISK Back 

with

Special Russian Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Master Long Term Pattern

M – Double Top in Psychological Key Level 70  Zone 

&

January  Monthly Bear Candlestick 

vs

February -April – May

No Dynamic Rub Rising 

Consolidation in Support Zone 63 – 65

with

May  Monthly Bull Candlestick

Last Weekly  Bull Candlestick

&

Daily Invert H&S – Neckline 65.50 

with

Monthly MACD  Activated Sell Signal

vs

Weekly  MACD ner to Activated Buy Signal

Daily MACD Buy Signal

of course with

FIB RET   

(  Monthly,  Weekly  &  Daily  Charts )

 

USD/RUB Present Active Range

63-65    vs   65.50 – 67-70

 

 

ATA  USD/RUB  Investment Conclusion 

Consolidation domination 

RUB Relative Strength back to  Neutral …!!!

NO NEW HIGH above Key Level  Psychological  70.00 USD 

vs

NO NEW LOW under 63 – 65 Key Levels Zone

 

ATA   USD/RUB  Present Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully Result of  Testing 

Key Level 65.50 Zone

vs

Last Support Zone 65- 63

 

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now June 

 

 

USD/RUB  Monthly , Weekly  &  Daily  Charts :

 

18.03.2018

Your new TVC (6)

11.04.2018

Your new TVC

15.07.2018

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

Your new TVC (5)

23.07.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

9.08.2018

Your new TVC (5)

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (8)

10.08.2018

tvc_1e1d68711527d067624b3bb54ef71d1c

tvc_ce8bc1b6f2353c07c4dd8f89de37ba33

tvc_406b4856071959d34d9241f4f7b0127d

17.08.2018

USD-RUB-M

USD-RUB-W

USD-RUB-D

24.08.2018

RUB-M

RUB-W

 

RUB-D

10.09.2018

USD-RUB-M

USD-RUB-W

USD-RUB-D

12.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-1

USD-RUB-W-1

USD-RUB-D-1

14.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-2

USD-RUB-W-2

USD-RUB-D-2

18.10.2018

USD-RUB-M-3

USD-RUB-W-3

USD-RUB-D-3

16.11.2018

USD-RUB-M-4USD-RUB-W-4USD-RUB-D-4

18.01.2019

usd-rub-musd-rub-wusd-rub-d

31.05.2019

USD-RUB - M

USD-RUB - W

USD-RUB - D

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