EUR/USD – European Political New Arrangement Risk…

EUR/USD  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation chronological

2014 – 2015 – 2017

20.03.2014 – FED & ELLIOTT IMPLICATIONS – EUR/USD…

06.03.2015 – EUR/USD – GIGA PRECISION

08.03.2015 – EUR/USD – 1 YEAR MOVE – March 2014 vs March 2015

18.07.2017 – EURO RUN on DRAGHI MOTIVE – SMART MONEY in ACTION…

01.09.2017 – EUR/USD FIGHTING…

2018

13.01.2018 –  EURO-SOJUZ vs FIBONACCI…

16.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Focus on Stalingrad Pattern…

25.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Dancing with Draghi…

29.01.2018 –  MAIN EUROPEAN DM CURRENCIES AFTER DRAGHI DUST…

26.07.2018 – EUR/USD BIG PICTURE – ECB Motive…

27.07.2018 – EUR/USD – the Day after Dovish Draghi…

28.07.2018 – EUR/USD & GDP FACTOR : US vs FRANCE…

&

Finally

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH…

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FIRST ROUND…

7.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – SECOND ROUND…

8.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – THIRD ROUND…

10.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FINAL ROUND…

with

Last

12.08.2018 – EUR/USD – TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

19.08.2018 –  EUR/USD vs EURO BANKS TURKISH DEBT VIRUS…

22.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X CANNONBALL…

24.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs POWELL from JACKSON HOLE…

27.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – KIND OF F/X MAGIC…

28.08.2018 – EUR/USD – COT SHORTS vs FIBONACCI…

29.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs US GDP MACRO Factor…

13.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs ECB & DRAGHI…

21.09.2018 –  EUR/USD – Dynamic Strikes Back…

25.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs CENTRAL FACTOR – ECB VERBAL MOTIVE vs FED RATE HIKES…

29.09.2018 – EUR/USD BLACK CLOUDS after FED & ITALY MOTIVES…

7.10.2018 –  EUR/USD – RETURN to F/X EQUATOR…

11.10.2018  –  EUR/USD – ACTIVE DEFENSE of F/X EQUATOR…

25.10.2018  –  EUR/USD under F/X EQUATOR waiting for ECB …

02.11.2018  –  EUR/USD – Against All Odds…Key Pattern Deja Vu…

8.11.2018  –  EUR/USD vs Master F/X Nightmares…from ITALY & ECB to US Election & FED…

19.11.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X AMBUSH…

19.01.2019 –  EUR/USD – F/X VERDUN…

10.03.2019 –  EUR/USD – Super Mario – Super Dove…

12.05.2019 –  EUR/USD – Fibonacci Retracement 1.12 – “No Pasarán”…

 

 

All  Time…from August  2018

EUR/USD  is  still in  Key Range  1.12 –  1.13-1.15 

under 

F/X  EQUATOR  –  Key Level 1.15

&

Key Level 1.13  (Turkish RISK OFF Low )

vs

above 

Key Level 1.12  ( Italian RISK OFF Low )

 

EUR/USD Last Months  shows   F/X VERDUN…

still

Both Sides of this Forex Battle 

can not break for good  other  Side Resistance

Wave Up – 1.13 & 1.15 

vs

Wave Down 1.12 

 

 

May EUR/USD Fighting is very Dynamic…

Last 2 May Strikes Down Moves

after

Super US GDP  , FED Meeting & FED Minutes No Dovisher

ECB Minutes – New TLTRO

Negative Macro Figures – EUROZONE & special Germany

with

Japanification in Eurozone Scenario

&

TRUMP Trade War

vs

Last 2 May Strikes Up  Moves

after

US Higher Tariffs ON…

Trump Verbal  Risk Off Strikes

EUROZONE Negative Macro Figure

Proof or Selective Reactions

Weaker than expected  US Macro Figures

( US PMI & US Durable Goods Orders )

&

Negative Results

Goldman Sachs cuts Q2 GDP to +1.3% from 1.5%

JP Morgan cuts Q2 GDP to +1% from 2.25%

 

 

EUR/USD 

April Low : 1.1110

May Low so far  : 1.1107 

but

Dynamic Rising Contraction

(  Last 2 Session Thursday & Friday )

Back above Key Level 1.12 

EUR/USD Last Friday EOD – 1.1204

still Active

F/X Master  Key Condition

No EOW & EOM Close under Key Level  1.12 

vs

Break Down Key Level 1.12

will open

F/X  Downside Space for  EUR/USD 

 

always remember

F/X Maxim

Missed Opportunities can take Revenge…!!!

that’s why

EUR/USD Present Short Term Range  is still  1.12 – 1.13 

 

by the EURO & European Parlament Election 

back to

BREXIT POLITICAL MESS SAGA…

24.05.2019 – UK POUND – MAY DAY & MAYDAY…

” BREXIT – EURROZONE Political  Risk Path…

after almost 3 Years after BREXIT Vote  still  dominating BREXIT UNKNOWN ABBYS…

so

Imagine what can be happend in EUROZONE after European Parlament Election…!!! “

 

 

European Election

 

First…

ATA from  12.05.2019

” All  Time…from August  2018

Against All Odds…

Italy , France & EUROZONE 

with 

Last ECB Mario – Super Dovish – New TLTRO III

EUR/USD  

is  still  above

Key Level 1.12 Zone 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

so

In the end decides…

Result of the Test 

of

This Last  Support Zone Key Level  1.12  “

 

&

ATA Tweets  ex ante & chronological…

 

 

Second…

Present  EUR/USD   Situation 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN ACTION  

 

First…Market Motives :

First of All

European Parliament Election 

with

Political New Arrangement Risk

&

others EURO Vectors  : 

ECB – Super Draghi – Super Dovish – New TLTRO 

Economic Cycle Peak Risk 

Present &  Future Slowdown 

Negative Macro Data

Italian GDP & Debt 

MACRON , SALVINI & LE PEN  – Political Risk 

Japanification in Eurozone Scenario 

but with

EUROZONE Negative Macro Figure

Proof or Selective Reactions 

 

vs

US Super GDP

FED TIME GAME – No Dovisher 

but

FED – TRUMP  Conflict 

TRUMP Trade War

but with

Weaker than expected  US Macro Figures

( US PMI & US Durable Goods Orders )

&

Negative Results 

Goldman Sachs cuts Q2 GDP to +1.3% from 1.5%

JP Morgan cuts Q2 GDP to +1% from 2.25%

 

 

Second…Market Technical  Pattern :

EUR/USD Last Months  still shows   F/X VERDUN…

of course

F/X Master  Key Condition

No EOW & EOM Close under Key Level .12 

 

Monthly EUR/USD Verdun 

still Active

Two Monthly Candlesticks – Low Shadows

&

Ending Diagonal Pattern (  Weekly & Daily Charts )

Key Level 1.13 

with

Invert 2B Pattern ( Daily Chart ) 

Key Level Zone 1.11  ( 1.1110  & 1.1107 ) 

&

April & May Testing & Time Break 

( April Low : 1.1110 )

(  May Low so far  : 1.1107 )

Key Level 1.12 Zone 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

vs

Key Level 1.13  –  Ending Diagonal 

&

F/X  EQUATOR  –  Key Level 1.15

with

FIB RET  Monthly , Weekly & Daily

&

MACD Monthly & Weekly Sell Signals

vs

Now Again Active

Daily Buy Signal 

&

MACD Weekly Buy Signal  still Near to Activates  

 

 

ATA  EUR/USD Present Investment Conclusion 

All  Time…from August  2018

Against All Odds…

Now First of All

European Political Risk 

Italy , France & EUROZONE 

ECB Mario – Super Dovish – New TLTRO III

EUR/USD  

is  still  above

Key Level 1.12 Zone 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

so

In the end decides…

Result of the Test 

of

This Last  Support Zone Key Level  1.12 

 

F/X Master  Key Condition

No EOW & EOM Close under Key Level  1.12 

vs

Break Down Key Level 1.12

will open

F/X  Downside Space for  EUR/USD 

 

Special Focus on

European Parliament Election Results 

&

Smart Money Sunday Night – Monday Night & Morning Reaction 

on

Ending Diagonal Pattern (  Weekly & Daily Charts )

with

Present  Key Levels   1.12 –  1.13 

 

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s – Monday after European Parliament Election

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Key Month May

 

with

BREXIT POLITICAL MESS SAGA…

BREXIT – EURROZONE Political  Risk Path…

after almost 3 Years after BREXIT Vote  still  dominating BREXIT UNKNOWN ABBYS…

so

Imagine what can be happend in EUROZONE after European Parlament Election…!!! 

 

 

 

EUR/USD  Monthly , Weekly , Daily  & Intraday  ( H4 & H5 )  Charts :

 

20.03.2014

eurusd_w(4)

08.03.2015

EURUSD (miesięcznie) 20150308071830

18.07.2017

EURUSD-M35

01.09.2017

EURUSD-M39

13.01.2018

twój-nowy-tvc2

16.01.2018

twój-nowy-tvc3

25.01.2018

eur-usd-m

26.07.2018

EURUSD-M1

EURUSD-W1

EURUSD-D1

27.07.2018

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

Twoja nowa TVC

27.07.2018  ( EOD ) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

6.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-H4

6.08.2018 

( before American Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

7.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC (2)

Twoja nowa TVC (3)

8.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

10.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC (9)

10.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EURUSD-M

EURUSD-W

EURUSD-D

EUR -D

EUR-H5

17.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD  & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D -1

EUR-USD-D -2

EUR-USD-H5

22.08.2018  

(  Start European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -H5

EUR-USD-W.png

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -H5

27.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -D3

EUR-USD -H5

28.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD -M

EUR-USD -W

EUR-USD -D

EUR-USD -D-1

EUR-USD - H5

29.08.2018  

( Before Start of  American F/X Session )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D1

EUR-USD-h5

13.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D1

EUR-USD-h5

21.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D2

EUR-USD-h5-1

25.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D3

EUR-USD-h5-2

28.09.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D4

EUR-USD-h5-3

5.10.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D5

EUR-USD-h5-4

11.10.2018  

(  Start of American Session )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

 

EUR-USD-D6

EUR-USD-h5-5

25.10.2018  

(  Middle of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D7EUR-USD-h5-6

2.11.2018  

(  Start  of  American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D8EUR-USD-h5-7

8.11.2018  

(  Before American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D9EUR-USD-h5-8

19.11.2018  

(  First Phase of American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-10EUR-USD-h5-9

18.01.2019  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

eur-usd-meur-usd-w

eur-usd-d

eur-usd-fib-d

eur-usd-h5

8.03.2019  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-M LINE

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-FIB-D

EUR-USD-h5

10.05.2019 

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

24.05.2019 

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

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