EUR/USD – Fibonacci Retracement 1.12 – “No Pasarán”…

ATA Continuation chronological

2014 – 2015 – 2017

20.03.2014 – FED & ELLIOTT IMPLICATIONS – EUR/USD…

06.03.2015 – EUR/USD – GIGA PRECISION

08.03.2015 – EUR/USD – 1 YEAR MOVE – March 2014 vs March 2015

18.07.2017 – EURO RUN on DRAGHI MOTIVE – SMART MONEY in ACTION…

01.09.2017 – EUR/USD FIGHTING…

2018

13.01.2018 –  EURO-SOJUZ vs FIBONACCI…

16.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Focus on Stalingrad Pattern…

25.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Dancing with Draghi…

29.01.2018 –  MAIN EUROPEAN DM CURRENCIES AFTER DRAGHI DUST…

26.07.2018 – EUR/USD BIG PICTURE – ECB Motive…

27.07.2018 – EUR/USD – the Day after Dovish Draghi…

28.07.2018 – EUR/USD & GDP FACTOR : US vs FRANCE…

&

Finally

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH…

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FIRST ROUND…

7.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – SECOND ROUND…

8.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – THIRD ROUND…

10.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FINAL ROUND…

with

Last

12.08.2018 – EUR/USD – TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

19.08.2018 –  EUR/USD vs EURO BANKS TURKISH DEBT VIRUS…

22.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X CANNONBALL…

24.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs POWELL from JACKSON HOLE…

27.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – KIND OF F/X MAGIC…

28.08.2018 – EUR/USD – COT SHORTS vs FIBONACCI…

29.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs US GDP MACRO Factor…

13.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs ECB & DRAGHI…

21.09.2018 –  EUR/USD – Dynamic Strikes Back…

25.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs CENTRAL FACTOR – ECB VERBAL MOTIVE vs FED RATE HIKES…

29.09.2018 – EUR/USD BLACK CLOUDS after FED & ITALY MOTIVES…

7.10.2018 –  EUR/USD – RETURN to F/X EQUATOR…

11.10.2018  –  EUR/USD – ACTIVE DEFENSE of F/X EQUATOR…

25.10.2018  –  EUR/USD under F/X EQUATOR waiting for ECB …

02.11.2018  –  EUR/USD – Against All Odds…Key Pattern Deja Vu…

8.11.2018  –  EUR/USD vs Master F/X Nightmares…from ITALY & ECB to US Election & FED…

19.11.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X AMBUSH…

19.01.2019 –  EUR/USD – F/X VERDUN…

10.03.2019 –  EUR/USD – Super Mario – Super Dove…

 

 

All  Time…from August  2018

EUR/USD  is  still in Range ( 1.12 – 1.13  vs  1.15 ) 

under 

F/X  EQUATOR  –  Key Level 1.15

&

Key Level 1.13  (Turkish RISK OFF Low )

vs

above 

Key Level 1.12  ( Italian RISK OFF Low )

 

EUR/USD Last Months  shows   F/X VERDUN…

still

Both Sides of this Forex Battle 

can not break for good  other  Side Resistance

Wave Up – 1.15 

vs

Wave Down 1.12 

 

of course

Last May Strike Down

was made after

Super US GDP  , FED Last No Dovisher

Negative Macro Figures

from

EUROZONE & special Germany

with

Japanification in Eurozone Scenario

&

TRUMP Trade War

 

EUR/USD 

April Low : 1.1110 

Present May Low so far  : 1.1135 

but

Dynamic Rising Contraction…

Back above Key Level 1.12 

EUR/USD Last Friday EOD – 1.1235

of course

F/X Master  Key Condition

No EOW & EOM Close under Key Level  1.12 

vs

Break Down Key Level 1.12

will open

F/X  Downside Space for  EUR/USD 

 

one more time

F/X Maxim

Missed Opportunities can take Revenge…!!!

that’s why

EUR/USD Present Short Term Range  is still  1.12 – 1.13 

 

 

First…

ATA from  10.03.2019

” EUR/USD Last Months  still shows   F/X VERDUN…

but

EOW  is nearer and nearer  to

Key Level 1.12 Zone 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

vs

F/X  EQUATOR  –  Key Level 1.15 

…

All  Time…from August  2018

Against All Odds…

Italy , France & EUROZONE 

with 

Last ECB Mario – Super Dovish – New TLTRO III

EUR/USD  

is  still  above

Key Level 1.12 Zone 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

so

In the end decides…

Result of the Test 

of

This Last  Support Zone Key Level  1.12  “

 

&

ATA Tweets  ex ante & chronological…

EUROZONE – "DARK ROOM " by ECB Draghi

after Years of European QE

before New TLTRO III

He is really Super " Printing " Mario

of course

Most Important Final SM Reaction – EOW-s & EOM

Now

EUR/USD > 1.1250 (1.1275)

DXY > 97.00 (97.03)

GOLD < 1300 (1297) pic.twitter.com/KXrQp2pl3b

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 12, 2019

Japanification in Eurozone

JPMorgan Cut EUR/USD 1Y Forecast to 1.17 from 1.20

EU Business & Rate Cycles -Japanification Path

EUR/USD still F/X VERDUN

EUR/USD > 1.13 vs < 1.15 – F/X EQUATOR (1.1310)

DXY < 97 (96.70)

GOLD > 1300 (1308)

Importatnt Final SM Move pic.twitter.com/qhtQI4R5WG

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 13, 2019

FED – POWELL DOVISH & DOVISHER

NO RATE HIKE in 2019

&

ONE in 2020

USD Dynamic Shot Down

DXY Fall < 95.50 (95.38) – Jun Fut

EUR/USD Up > 1.14 (1.1413)

GOLD Up > 1310 (1314)

Most Important Final SM Reaction-EOD & EOW pic.twitter.com/qMVup4JbBF

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 20, 2019

FED SCHIZOPHRENIA

Fed

Cancels All 2019 Rate Hikes

Lowers GDP Forecast

Ends Balance Sheet Run-off

vs

Powell “Economic Fundamentals Strong & Outlook Positive”

DXY > 95 (95.35) – Jun Fut

EUR/USD > 1.14 (1.1425)

GOLD in 1320 Zone (1319)

p.s.

SM Reaction -EOD & EOW pic.twitter.com/fXVWjmHgmr

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 21, 2019

YELLEN WARNING

GLOBAL CENTRAL BANKS DON'T HAVE ADEQUATE CRISIS TOOLS

ATA Conclusion

Clear True

after

ZIRP NIRP & QE

Most Important Final SM Reaction- EOM-March

DXY < 96 (95.98) – Jun Fut

EUR/USD > 1.13 (1.1318)

GBP/USD > 1.32 (1.3233)

GOLD > 1320 (1325) pic.twitter.com/lLsvlQdfjd

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 25, 2019

New World Order…

Welcome to the Real World…

Master Question what's happend with Wall Street & USD…!!???

DXY < 96 (95.93) – Jun Fut

USD/CNY in 6.70 Zone (6.7095)

EUR/USD > 1.13 (1.1325)

GBP/USD > 1.32 (1.3213)

GOLD > 1320 (1329) – Jun Fut

Focus EOM – First March pic.twitter.com/6iE937N2W0

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 25, 2019

ECB – DRAGHI in VERBAL DOVISH ACTION…

Draghi Words

Negative Rates for Longer

&

Excess Liquidity to Increase

EURO Shot Down & Shot Up

EUR/USD < 1.13 (1.1275)

DXY > 96 (96.28) – Jun Fut

GOLD > 1320 (1321) – Jun Fut

Important Final SM Reaction – H4 & EOD pic.twitter.com/LZ9KZybNuP

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 27, 2019

ECB VOICES

Interest Rate Structurally Low for a While

Low Economic Growth Raises Concerns about Sovereign Debt Sustainability

ECB has Tools to Shield Economy from Spillovers

EUR/USD < 1.13 (1.1280)

DXY > 96 (96.20) -Jun F

GOLD > 1320 (1324) -Jun F

Focus H4 & EOD pic.twitter.com/4oBtAAQJnW

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 27, 2019

GERMAN DEBT WARNING

Germany sold 10Y Debt at Negtive Yield 1st time since 2016

Investors Pay to Lend Germany Money for 10Y Bonds

10Y GR Yield in -0.50% Zone (-0.048%)

EUR/USD < 1.13 (1.1278)

DXY > 96 (96.25) -Jun F

GOLD > 1320 (1323) -Jun F

Important Final SM Reaction pic.twitter.com/yzzGyhC6QM

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 27, 2019

German Debt Götterdämmerung

German Bond Yields Fall below Japan's…!!!

Great Risk Off Escape

DE -0.069 vs JP -0.067

EUR/USD in 1.1250 Zone (1.1251)

DXY in 96.50 Zone (96.44) -Jun F

GOLD < 1320 (1316) -Jun F

Important Final SM Reaction – EOM – First March pic.twitter.com/wqW6lQZpWJ

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 27, 2019

ECB Dovish Voice

Hawkish Knot Now Dovish on Rates long-term…!!!

EURO still under Pressure

EUR/USD in 1.12 Zone 1.1218)

DXY > 96.50 (96.81) -Jun F

GOLD < 1300 (1293) -Jun F

Important Final SM Reaction pic.twitter.com/7Rf68UzGVm

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 31, 2019

EUROZONE Verbal Warning

France's FinMin Le Maire

Euro Zone ‘Not Ready’ To Cope With New Major Crisis

USD Wave Up still ON

EUR/USD < 1.12 (1.1190)

DXY > 97 (97.03) -Jun F

GOLD < 1300 (1290) -Jun F

Important Final SM Reaction- H4 & EOD pic.twitter.com/mnqac3hUM9

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 2, 2019

Juncker ITALY Warning

ITALIAN ECONOMY CONTINUES TO REGRESS

USD Wave Up still Active

EUR/USD in 1.12 (1.1200)

DXY in 97 (06.98) -Jun F

GOLD < 1300 (1291) -Jun F

remember

Important Final SM Reaction- H4 & EOD pic.twitter.com/X6Cl2DY7mX

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 2, 2019

ITALIAN " DEAD CAN DANE "

Cut 2019 Growth Forecast To 0.1% From 1%

Wider 2019 Budget Deficit at 2.3% – 2.4%

still No EURO Dynamic Wave Down

EUR/USD < 1.1250 (1.1225)

DXY > 96.50 (96.75) -Jun F

GOLD < 1300 (1295) -Jun F

Important Final SM Reaction- H4 & EOD pic.twitter.com/n4LAXUqE5P

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 4, 2019

ECB MINUTES

Risks for the External Environment

Further Slowdown in Global Growth & Trade Momentum

still No EURO Dynamic Wave Down

EUR/USD < 1.1250 (1.1225)

DXY > 96.50 (96.77) -Jun F

GOLD < 1300 (1293) -Jun F

Important Final SM Reaction- H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/ENr9CR9cdZ

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 4, 2019

Main Central Banks BOJ FED ECB SNB

by QE " Printing Money "

creating

CENTRAL SOCIALISM

with

Central Control of Assets

Equities & Bonds First… pic.twitter.com/ZTS9aBgIo5

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 8, 2019

ECB Verdict

Main Policy Rates on Hold

Now High Time for Draghi

EURO No Dynamic Reaction

EUR/USD > 1.1250 ( 1.1278)

DXY > 96.50 (96.53) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1300 (1307) -Jun Fut

Important Final SM Reaction-H4 & EOD pic.twitter.com/Z6Yffzei1R

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 10, 2019

ECB – Draghi

Ready to Adjust All Instruments as Necessary – Negative Rates

EURO First Shot Up & Now Shot Down

EUR/USD > 1.1250 ( 1.1258)

DXY > 96.50 (96.65) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1300 (1306) -Jun Fut

Important Final SM Reaction-H4 & EOD pic.twitter.com/0xJQ09zmho

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 10, 2019

FED Minutes

Door Open for More Rate Hikes if the Economy Improves

USD Shot Up vs Shot Down Intraday

EUR/USD Back from 1.13 Zone (1.1273)

DXY Back > 96.50 (96.55) -Jun Fut

GOLD Back to 1310 (1312) -Jun Fut

remember

Most Important Final SM Reaction-H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/4BOf53rN6a

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 10, 2019

F/X SUPER BOWL – Day After

FED Hawkish vs ECB Dovish & BREXIT New Date

but

No EURO USD & GBP Final Big Reaction

EUR/USD < 1.13 ( 1.1275)

GBP/USD < 1.31 (1.3080)

vs

DXY > 96.50 (96.58) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1300 (1310) -Jun Fut

Important Final SM Reaction-H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/PJcpyzipLM

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 11, 2019

FED MEGA TIME GAME

Kudlow "Fed may Not Hike Interest Rates 'in my Lifetime"

&

Economists – Fed On Hold through 2021

USD Rising

EUR/USD in 1.1250 (1.1258)

GBP/USD in 1.3050 (1.3060)

DXY > 96.50 (96.77) -Jun Fut

GOLD < 1300 (1297) -Jun Fut

Important Final SM Reaction pic.twitter.com/nffvOjtb1v

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 11, 2019

DEBT MADNESS

with

EURO SOJUZ DEBT SHOW MUST GO ON…

other words

from Debt Dusk till Debt Dawn…

with

ECB " Printing " …. pic.twitter.com/dfbeiBLUkG

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 15, 2019

US GDP

US GDP Annualised (Q/Q) Q1 3.2% (exp 2.3%; prev 2.2%)

USD Dynamic Shot Up & Shot Down Intraday

EUR/USD Up to 1.1150 (1.1141)

DXY Down from 98 (97.88) -Jun Fut

GOLD still < 1280 (1278)-Jun Fut

remember

Most Important Smart Money Reaction – H1-H4-EOD & EOW pic.twitter.com/KVwEzoznVV

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 26, 2019

KUDLOW VERBAL STRIKE

FED moving forward a Rate Cut

USD Wave Down Intraday

EUR/USD > 1.1150 (1.1165)

DXY in 97.50 Z (97.63) -Jun Fut

GOLD in 1290 (1289)-Jun Fut

Most Important SM Reaction -EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/nBWYULdHCY

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 26, 2019

ITALY RATING Verdict

by

S&P

Italy BBB/A-2 Ratings Affirmed

but

Outlook Negative

DXY – Focus on Key Level 98

Key Levels (EOW)

EUR/USD 1.11 vs 1.12 (1.1154)

DXY Index 98 (98.05)

GOLD Spot 1280-1300 USD (1286)

remember

Most Important Final SM Reaction-EOM-April pic.twitter.com/hkG017YbpH

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 27, 2019

ITALY RATING Verdict Smart Money Move

FTSE MIB Index >21.500 (21674)

10Y Bond Yield > 2.50% (2.578%)

EUR/USD in 1.1150 (1.1155)

DXY in 97.50 – 98 Zone (97.75)-Jun Fut

GOLD 1280-1300 USD (1284)-Jun Fut

Most Important Final SM Reaction-EOM-April pic.twitter.com/idMEYiYKPk

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 29, 2019

France & Spain GDP

Y/Y Q1

F 1.1% (est 1.1%; prev 1.0%)

S 2.40% (est 2.30% ; prev 2.30%)

–

EURO still on Rising Wave – Key Level 1.12

EUR/USD Test 1.12 (1.1190)

DXY Test 97.50 (97.53) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1280 (1285)-Jun Fut

–

Most Important SM Reaction -H4-EOD pic.twitter.com/2fyK3xBD8Y

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 30, 2019

EUROZONE GDP

Y/Y Q1 1.20% (est 1.10% ; prev 1.10%)

Q/Q 0.40% (est 0.30% ; prev 0.20%)

–

EURO Up Intraday > Key Level 1.12

EUR/USD > 1.12 (1.1208)

DXY < 97.50 (97.35) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1280 (1285)-Jun Fut

–

Most Important SM Reaction -H4-EOD pic.twitter.com/NMTpqGnlld

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 30, 2019

ITALIAN GDP

1Q

Y/Y 0.10% (est -0.10% ; prev 0.00%)

Q/Q 0.20% (est 0.10% ; prev -0.10%)

–

EURO still Intraday > Key Level 1.12

EUR/USD > 1.12 (1.1208)

DXY < 97.50 (97.35) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1280 (1286)-Jun Fut

–

Most Important SM Reaction -H4-EOD pic.twitter.com/kUS5P7PfwY

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) April 30, 2019

Central Banks Central Control by Central Quantitative Easing

like

Soviet Union Centrally Controlled Economy

vs

Kondratiev Waves… Supercycles…Long Waves… K-Waves…

Back to Past & Think…

Who Fell…

so Now

The Winner will be Only One… pic.twitter.com/j1kT3DhZ6c

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 1, 2019

TRUMP vs FED

U.S. Economy Potential to go up like a Rocket if Fed Lower Interest Rates “like One Point "

vs

Trump Fed Tweets No Influence on Policy- Former Fed

–

Most Important Final SM Reaction

EUR/USD > 1.12 (1.1228) -Master Key Level 1.12

DXY in 97 (97.15)-Jun Fut pic.twitter.com/k1L9zSzBFk

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 1, 2019

FED Verdict Active

Interest Rate Unchanged
–
Target Range stands at 2.25-2.50%

Time for Powell Words

–

USD New Shot Down

EUR/USD > 1.1250 (1.1260) -Master Key Levels 1.12 & 1.13

DXY < 97 (96.88) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1285 (1288)-Jun Fut

–

Most Important SM Reaction-EOD pic.twitter.com/qny6HMB0Ot

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 1, 2019

FED – Powell

US Economy Supported by ‘Solid Fundamentals’
–
Healthy GDP Growth Expected for Rest of 2019
–
Patient Stance on Policy

–

USD Strikes Back

EUR/USD Test 1.12 (1.1200) -Master Key Level 1.12

DXY > 97 (97.38) -Jun Fut

GOLD < 1280 (1275)-Jun Fut

Focus EOD pic.twitter.com/Qi9W2HBdyO

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 1, 2019

FED – the Day After…

Powell – Patient Stance on Policy
complies with
ATA FED TIME GAME ex ante…
–
USD still on Wave Up

EUR/USD Test 1.12 (1.1205) -Master Key Level 1.12

DXY > 97 (97.37) -Jun Fut

GOLD < 1280 (1273)-Jun Fut

Focus H4-EOD pic.twitter.com/48EvDbmEYJ

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 2, 2019

FED – Goldman Sachs

Next move is more likely Hike than Cut
–
Next Rate Increase after Election in Q4 2020, followed by another Hike in 2021

Goldman View = ATA FED TIME GAME

USD still on Wave Up

EUR/USD < 1.12 (1.1198) -Master Key Level 1.12

DXY > 97 (97.40) -Jun Fut pic.twitter.com/og5Ctfdk5J

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 2, 2019

White House Advisor Kudlow Verbal Strike – Fox

FED is Looking at Rate Cuts

Low Infl. may Suggest need for Lower Interest Rates

USD Dynamic Shot Down

EUR/USD > 1.1150 (1.1178) -Master Key Level 1.12

DXY < 97.50 (97.47) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1280 (1281)-Jun Fut

Focus EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/DYdphoNajC

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 3, 2019

Vice President Pence Verbal Strike – CNBC

Is Not Time for Rate Hikes, maybe Time to consider Cut Rates

USD Dynamic Shot Down

EUR/USD > 1.1150 (1.1178) -Master Key Level 1.12

DXY < 97.50 (97.47) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1280 (1281)-Jun Fut

Focus EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/MrYkJrL80J

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 3, 2019

FED Bullard Verbal Strike

Having Single Mandate Wouldn’t Change Policy Too Much

USD Shot Up

EUR/USD Back Down from 1.12 Zone (1.1183) -Master Key Level 1.12

DXY < 97.50 (97.38) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1280 (1281)-Jun Fut

Focus EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/x7vKYpQCux

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 3, 2019

FED Evans Verbal Strike

Downside risks have eased by still larger than upside ones

USD Shot Up

EUR/USD Back Down from 1.12 Zone (1.1183) -Master Key Level 1.12

DXY < 97.50 (97.38) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1280 (1281)-Jun Fut

Focus EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/huQcU9ly9B

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 3, 2019

FED Clarida Verbal Strike

No Need to Change Fed Policy Stance at the Moment

USD Shot Up

EUR/USD Back Down from 1.12 Zone (1.1185) -Master Key Level 1.12

DXY < 97.50 (97.35) -Jun Fut

GOLD in 1280 (1280)-Jun Fut

Focus EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/zCOZpUbWUt

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 3, 2019

FED Mester Verbal Strike – CNBC

Fully Supports Fed’s Patient Approach

2% To 2.5% US Growth Expected In 2019

EUR/USD still < 1.12 (1.1190) -Master Key Level 1.12

DXY < 97.50 (97.30) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1280 (1281)-Jun Fut

Focus EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/0VPLOoLalQ

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 3, 2019

EU Cuts GDP Forecast 2019 – Warning of Euro-Area Risks

Eurozone to 1.20%

German to 0.5%

Italy to 0.1%

EURO Shot Down more under Master Key Level 1.12

EUR/USD < 1.12 (1.1185)

DXY in 97.50 Zone (97.40) -Jun Fut

GOLD stil in 1280 Zone (1281)-Jun Fut

Focus H1-H4-EOD pic.twitter.com/tEKTWo40iO

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) May 7, 2019

 

 

Second…

Present  EUR/USD   Situation 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN ACTION  

 

First…Market Motives :

EURO Vectors  : 

ECB – Super Draghi – Super Dovish 

Economic Cycle Peak Risk 

Present &  Future Slowdown 

Negative Macro Data

Italian GDP & Debt 

MACRON & SALVINI –  Political Risk 

&

Japanification in Eurozone Scenario 

with

European Parliament Election  – May 2019

vs

US Super GDP

FED TIME GAME – No Dovisher 

but

FED – TRUMP  Conflict 

with

TRUMP Trade War

 

 

Second…Market Technical  Pattern :

EUR/USD Last Months  still shows   F/X VERDUN…

of course

F/X Master  Key Condition

No EOW & EOM Close under Key Level .12 

 

Monthly EUR/USD Verdun 

Two Monthly Candlesticks – Low Shadows

Ending Diagonal Pattern (  Weekly & Daily Charts )

with

Key Level 1.13 

&

April & May Testing & Time Break 

( April Low : 1.1110 )

( Present May Low so far  : 1.1135 )

Key Level 1.12 Zone 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

vs

F/X  EQUATOR  –  Key Level 1.15

with

FIB RET  Monthly , Weekly & Daily

&

MACD Monthly & Weekly Sell Signals

vs

Daily Buy Signal 

&

MACD Weekly Buy Signal Near to activates  

 

 

ATA  EUR/USD Present Investment Conclusion 

All  Time…from August  2018

Against All Odds…

Italy , France & EUROZONE 

with 

Last ECB Mario – Super Dovish – New TLTRO III

EUR/USD  

is  still  above

Key Level 1.12 Zone 

(  Fib Ret 61.8%   – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 ) 

so

In the end decides…

Result of the Test 

of

This Last  Support Zone Key Level  1.12 

 

F/X Master  Key Condition

No EOW & EOM Close under Key Level  1.12 

vs

Break Down Key Level 1.12

will open

F/X  Downside Space for  EUR/USD 

 

Special Focus on

Ending Diagonal Pattern (  Weekly & Daily Charts )

with

Key Level 1.13 

 

 

N – TIMES

CENTRAL FIGHT  –  ECB  vs   FED   – Master  Factor for   EUR/USD 

US MACRO  vs   EUROZONE MACRO

with

ITALIAN & FRANCE   vs  TRUMP MOTIVE STORY 

are

Master Key Motives for EUR/USD

 

but Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Key Month May

 

 

 

EUR/USD  Monthly , Weekly , Daily  & Intraday  ( H4 & H5 )  Charts :

 

20.03.2014

08.03.2015

18.07.2017

01.09.2017

13.01.2018

16.01.2018

25.01.2018

26.07.2018

27.07.2018

27.07.2018  ( EOD ) 

6.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

6.08.2018 

( before American Trading Session ) 

7.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

8.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

10.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

10.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

17.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD  & EOW) 

22.08.2018  

(  Start European Session  )

24.08.2018  

(  Middle Time of  European Session  )

 

27.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

28.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

29.08.2018  

( Before Start of  American F/X Session )

13.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

21.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

25.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

28.09.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

5.10.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

11.10.2018  

(  Start of American Session )

 

25.10.2018  

(  Middle of  European Session  )

2.11.2018  

(  Start  of  American Session  )

8.11.2018  

(  Before American Session  )

19.11.2018  

(  First Phase of American Session  )

18.01.2019  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

8.03.2019  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

10.05.2019 

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW)