US BOND YIELDS – WALL STREET BUBBLE TOPS & CRISES LEADING INDICATOR …

 

US BOND YIELDS  back  Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Following …

12.01.2019 –  GLOBAL EQUITIES PATHFINDER – DJIA Year after the Peak…

30.03.2019 – JAPAN DEBT – JAPANIFICATION in ACTION…

31.03.2019 –  SWISS DEBT – SNB NIRP POLICY…

31.03.2019 –  GERMAN DEBT – JAPANIFICATION SCENARIO …

1.04.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – NO MEGA SAFE ESCAPE…

with

17.01.2019 –  YEN – RISK OFF REVENGE…

17.01.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – NO RISK OFF REVENGE…

&

28.04.2019 –  OIL – WASHINGTON vs TEHRAN CLASH…

3.05.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – F/X Anti USD & Save Haven Pathfinder…

4.05.2019 –  DR COPPER – Red Metal Pulse of Global Economy…

 

US BOND YIELDS – WALL STREET BUBBLE TOPS & CRISES LEADING INDICATOR…

 

Wall Street

 

US BOND YIELDS  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

First…Market Motives :

US & Global Slowdown or Recession Mainstream Projections 

vs

US GDP Annualised (Q/Q) Q1 3.2%

(exp 2.3%; prev 2.2%)

&

FED Policy & Powell Speeches 

Interest Rate Unchanged – Target Range stands at 2.25-2.50%

US Economy Supported by ‘Solid Fundamentals’ 

Healthy GDP Growth Expected for Rest of 2019

Patient Stance on Policy

vs

US other Verbal Strikes on FED Policy 

like

White House Advisor Kudlow Verbal Strike – FED is Looking at Rate Cuts

&

Vice President Pence Verbal Strike – Is Not Time for Rate Hikes, maybe Time to consider Cut Rates

with

DJIA still Testing  All Time Highs Zone from 2018

&

US 10Y BOND YIELD –  Wave Up after Down Correction – Key Level 2.50%

USD vs EURO still Fighting – Now in Key Level 1.12 

vs

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index –  No New Low on Present Down Trend

Last Low – 09.2018  in  Psychological Key Level Zone  60 ( Min 60.59 )

&

Copper – RISK OFF Pulse of Global Economy…

with

OIL Shot Down after Last Iran Fear  Apogee…

 

 

Second…Market Technical Patterns :

Monthly View 

first of all

Secular Bearish Channels 

Break up Secular Bear Trendlines 

with

Most Importatnt

FIBONACCI RETRACEMENTS

on

US 2Y 5Y & 10Y BOND YIELD 

with

Master Fib Ret Zones 

 

US 2Y BOND YIELD 

61.8% – 68.5%  & 78.6%

 

US 5Y BOND YIELD 

61.8% – 68.5%  

 

US 10Y BOND YIELD 

Most 61.8% – 68.5%  

&

0.50% – 0.56.4%

with

1 Time 38.6% 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

US YIELDS  showed  ex ante in the Past 

Every Wall Street Bubbles Tops…!!!

that’s why

IS NOT TIME  YET

to

WALL STREET BUBBLE FINAL BURST…!!!

 

ATA  US Yields Prefered Scenario 

Forming  the Main Top like before Lehman Crash  2008

Present Bubble is Big & Rising 

but

need more Time to Burst…

Time like in…

 

other words

Investors should consider 

Higher Probability 

Wall Street RISK ON Scenario Continuation 

by the time

when US YIELDS will rise  HIGHER

to

Past Optimum Target Zone

than

Probability of  Bubble Burst just Now

 

of course don’t forget about

Black Swans 

&

US Bond Yields 

MACD Monthly Sell Signals 

vs

Break up Secular Bear Trendlines 

with

Master Signals

from

Wall Street …Oil…Copper 

Gold-Silver …Yen ..Swiss Franc 

&

Other Countries Debt Yields 

 

 

WHEN TIME WILL COME…

SMART MONEY STRIKES SYNCHRONIZED …!!!

like always by creating

MAIN TOP

first of all on Wall Street 

on

Super Good News & Mainstream Media Ecstasy

last  perfect example

US GDP Annualised (Q/Q) Q1 3.2%

(exp 2.3%; prev 2.2%)

 

 

 

always remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart money Reaction…

EOM – Key Month May

 

 

US  2Y  5Y & 10Y BOND YIELD Secular Horizon – Monthly Charts :

3.05.2019

US 2Y Yield - M - Fib Ret

US 5Y Yield - M - Fib Ret

US 10Y Yield - M - Fib Ret

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