SWISS DEBT – SNB NIRP POLICY…

 

ATA Following …

17.01.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – NO RISK OFF REVENGE…

with

30.03.2019 –  JAPAN DEBT – JAPANIFICATION in ACTION…

 

 

Swiss Debt  Master Motives –  SWISS & EUROZONE Vectors :

SNB –  NIRP – Ultra Dovish Policy 

ECB DRAGHI – Super Dovish – New TLTRO III

EUROZONE Recession Risk 

Economic Cycle Peak Risk 

BREXIT Risk Saga

Negative Macro Data

Italian Debt 

Turkish Crisis 

MACRON & SALVINI –  Political Risk 

France’s Yellow Vest Protests Risk 

Catalonia Pro-Independence Protests Risk 

&

European Parliament Election  – May 2019

 

 

Master Swiss Debt  Global  RISK OFF Question 

What do Smart Money really know about the  Global & Eurozone Risks…

that Espace again to Swiss Debt with Negative Yield…!!???

 

 

 

 

First…

ATA Tweets ex ante…

2019 Recession Means 2020 Socialism…

sponosred by CENTRAL BANKS " PRINTING " – FED …ECB…BOJ

&

created

First EURO-SOJUZ…

Second GLOBAL SOJUZ…

with

SOJUZ SLOGAN

" PRINTING IS EVERYTHING "https://t.co/shpY9RYinM

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 22, 2018

KARL MARX NOT DEAD…

but this time is

CENTRAL BANKS MARX IDEAS

in

" Pseudo-Capitalism " Action…

Saving the System…

Special Focus on World Bond Yields in Present Debt Era

Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…https://t.co/9NlaOK6Nat pic.twitter.com/bsuGEUYcw1

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 2, 2019

DOVISH CENTRAL RACE

FED ECB BoE BoJ BOC

Which Bank will be Most Dovish ?

&

Which Currency Wins ?

Remember

Most Important Final SM Reaction-EOM First March

DXY > 95 (95.35) – Jun Fut

EUR/USD > 1.14 (1.1425)

GBP/USD in 1.32 (1.3205)

GOLD in 1320 (1319) pic.twitter.com/wrmvYnn4SD

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 21, 2019

Central Banks in Action…

Now High Time for SNB & BoE…

Next Dovish or Dovisher…

No Continuation USD Free Fall..

DXY Back to 95.50 (95.51) – Jun Fut

EUR/USD < 1.14 (1.1398)

GBP/USD < 1.32 (1.3153)

USD/CHF > 0.99 (0.9925)

GOLD < 1320 (1318)

Focus Final SM Move pic.twitter.com/M6J9cgGKOu

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 21, 2019

SNB VERDICT

SNB leaves Key Rate Unchanged at -0.75%

USD Rising Contraction…

DXY >595.50 (95.51) – Jun Fut

USD/CHF > 0.99 (0.9928)

GOLD < 1320 (1318)

Focus on Final SM Move – EOD & EOW pic.twitter.com/VOvwPzG5tx

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 21, 2019

YELLEN WARNING

GLOBAL CENTRAL BANKS DON'T HAVE ADEQUATE CRISIS TOOLS

ATA Conclusion

Clear True

after

ZIRP NIRP & QE

Most Important Final SM Reaction- EOM-March

DXY < 96 (95.98) – Jun Fut

EUR/USD > 1.13 (1.1318)

GBP/USD > 1.32 (1.3233)

GOLD > 1320 (1325) pic.twitter.com/lLsvlQdfjd

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 25, 2019

GARTMAN WARNING

U.S will Enter `Quiet' Recession This Year

Best Place – Bonds vs Worst – Stocks

Gold in Euros – Trade Of The Year

EUR/USD < 1.13 (1.1275)

DXY > 96 (96.23) -Jun F

GOLD > 1320 (1322) -Jun F

Most Important Final Smart Money Reaction – EOM -March pic.twitter.com/I42JeBgHJZ

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 27, 2019

TURKISH DOOM…

Turkish Lira Overnight Swap Rate Rises above 1,000% to Max 1338%

5 year CDS rise to 453

TRY Falls -2.13%

Global Smart Money can do Anything on Financial Markets… pic.twitter.com/xGxmYek7cb

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 27, 2019

BREXIT VOTE AHEAD

Last Chance…!!???

remember

Most Important Final Smart Money Reaction

High Volatility still Rules

1.30-Real Master Key Level

GBP/USD Back to 1.3050 Zone (1.3058)

DXY > 96.50 (96.72) -Jun Fut

GOLD > 1300 (1302) -Jun Fut pic.twitter.com/OSUd3yxr2h

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 29, 2019

NO BREXIT DEAL

May Loses 3-rd Brexit Vote in Parliament by 58 Votes

High Volatility Strikes Again

1.30 Master Key Level

GBP/USD Fall < 1.30 (1.2990)

DXY > 96.50 (96.80) -Jun Fut

GOLD < 1300 (1299) -Jun Fut

Most Important Final Smart Money Reaction – EOD -EOM pic.twitter.com/Yt2xhUwGWm

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 29, 2019

France's Yellow Vest Protesters still On…

Special Focus on French Assets

Master Key Levels

CAC 5000 ( 5350 )

Fr 10Y Bond Yield 0.30% ( 0.316% )

&

EUR/USD 1.12 ( 1.1218 )

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction – First Monday pic.twitter.com/HnGzVbGrJJ

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 31, 2019

Pro-Independence Protesters in Barcelona…

Special Focus on Spanish Assets

Master Key Levels

IBEX 9000 – 9500 ( 9240 )

10Y Bond Yield 1.00 – 1.25% ( 1.114% )

&

EUR/USD 1.12 ( 1.1218)

remember

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction – First Monday pic.twitter.com/nZ7SDYFZkB

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) March 31, 2019

 

 

Second…

10Y SWISS BOND YIELD –  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

First…Market Motives :

SNB –  NIRP – Ultra Dovish Policy 

ECB DRAGHI – Super Dovish – New TLTRO III

EUROZONE Recession Risk 

Economic Cycle Peak Risk 

BREXIT Risk Saga

Negative Macro Data

Italian Debt 

Turkish Crisis 

MACRON & SALVINI –  Political Risk 

France’s Yellow Vest Protests Risk 

Catalonia Pro-Independence Protests Risk 

&

European Parliament Election  – May 2019

 

 

Second…Market Technical  Pattern :

Monthly View 

first of all

Mega Long Term Downtrend 

with

almost 2 Years Rising Correction

from  6.2016   -0.577%  ; Low -0.652%

to  4.2018  0.09% ;  High 0.176%

&

Present Falling Wave

EOM – March -0.373% ; Low -0.445%

with

back to MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

 

10Y Swiss Bond Yield  EOM – March  :  – 0.373%

 

Special Focus on 

Secular Trend Chart 

with

Swiss Debt Yield  Master Low 

Key Support Zone   – 0.65%  & – 0.57%   from 7.2016 – 9.2016

 

N-Times…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

 

 

10Y Swiss Bond Yield Monthly Charts :

 

29.03.2019 – EOM – March