RUSSIAN RUBLE – Relative Strength Rising…

ATA Continuation…

ex ante & chronological

6.08.2015 –  MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…

12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

last

18.03.2018  –  RTS & RUB – RUSSIA TODAY…

11.04.2018  –  RED ASSETS – from RUSSIA with LOSS…

16.07.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – TRUMP – PUTIN GEOPOLITICAL FACTOR…

23.07.2018  –  RUBLE – RUSSIAN OIL & GEOPOLITICAL ROULETTE…

9.08.2018   –   RUBLE – TRUMP STRIKES BACK…

10.08.2018  –  RUB – AMERICAN F/X TARGET…

18.08.2018  –  RUB vs US SANCTIONS & OIL RISK OFF FACTORS…

26.08.2018  –  RUB vs TRUMP CURRENCY WAR…

10.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs American Financial Pressure…

12.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs VOSTOCK 2018…

15.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs CBR Rate Hike…

18.10.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs SANCTIONS with ITALIAN VERBAL HELP…

18.11.2018 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs OIL STRIKE…

 

RUB   

still Active Present Motives 

RISK ON 

No US Dollar strong Wave Up 

Bank of Russia High Rate  after Last Hikes

OIL Rising – Back > Psychological Key Level 50 USD 

Russia &  Belarus  – One Common Currency Project 

FED & Powell Impulses – FED TIME GAME 2019

vs

RISK OFF 

Sanctions 

Ukraine – Donbass War

with

Kerch Strait Incident – Ukrainian Ships & Sailors 

russian-flag

N – TIMES…

Most Important is  Final Smart Money Reaction…!!!

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…

ATA from  18.11.2018

” September  & November  Shooting Stars  – Bear Candlesticks

– Long Upper Shadows

Psychological Key Level 70   ( Max 70.58 ) 

RUB Relative Strength  Rising…!!!

NO NEW HIGH above Key Level  Psychological  70 

or even

NO  TEST of last  HIGH Zone ( 70 – 70.58  )  “

 

Second…

Present  RUSSIAN RUBLE  Situation 

still Active Present Motives 

RISK ON 

No US Dollar strong Wave Up 

Bank of Russia High Rate  after Last Hikes

OIL Rising – Back > Psychological Key Level 50 USD 

Russia &  Belarus  – One Common Currency Project 

&

FED & Powell Impulses – FED TIME GAME 2019 

vs

RISK OFF 

Sanctions 

Ukraine – Donbass War

with

Kerch Strait Incident – Ukrainian Ships & Sailors 

 

Main  Master  Technical Pattern

M – Double Top in Psychological Key Level 70 USD Zone 

&

January  Monthly Bear Candlestick 

3 Weekly Bear Candlesticks 

Daily Invert Ending Diagonal 

with

Monthly MACD Negative Divergence

Weekly  & Daily MACD Sell Signals 

vs

August  Monthly Big  Bull Candlestick   

still Active Support 65    – Half of  this Candlestick Body

&

Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

of course with

FIB RET   

(  Monthly,  Weekly  &  Daily  Charts )

 

 

ATA  USD/RUB  Investment Conclusion 

RUB Relative Strength  still Rising…!!!

NO NEW HIGH above Key Level  Psychological  70.00 

M  Pattern  after  December Test of  70  

USD/RUB still Active Key Levels  are   65   vs    68  &  70  – 70.50    

with

Highs –  70.58 & 69.40 

 

Focus on

USD/RUB January EOM 

with

OIL – Psychological Key Level 50 USD

16.01.2019 –  OIL – V Sharp Correction…

&

US 10Y BOND YIELD 

16.01.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

 

 

USD/RUB  Monthly , Weekly  &  Daily  Charts :

 

18.03.2018

Your new TVC (6)

11.04.2018

Your new TVC

15.07.2018

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

Your new TVC (5)

23.07.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

9.08.2018

Your new TVC (5)

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (8)

10.08.2018

tvc_1e1d68711527d067624b3bb54ef71d1c

tvc_ce8bc1b6f2353c07c4dd8f89de37ba33

tvc_406b4856071959d34d9241f4f7b0127d

17.08.2018

USD-RUB-M

USD-RUB-W

USD-RUB-D

24.08.2018

RUB-M

RUB-W

 

RUB-D

10.09.2018

USD-RUB-M

USD-RUB-W

USD-RUB-D

12.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-1

USD-RUB-W-1

USD-RUB-D-1

14.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-2

USD-RUB-W-2

USD-RUB-D-2

18.10.2018

USD-RUB-M-3

USD-RUB-W-3

USD-RUB-D-3

16.11.2018

USD-RUB-M-4USD-RUB-W-4USD-RUB-D-4

18.01.2019

usd-rub-musd-rub-wusd-rub-d

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