EUR/USD – F/X VERDUN… – ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH

FRANCE YELLOW STILL ON…!!!

EURO SOCIALISM…

Focus on

EURO with CAC & FRENCH BONDS

Smart Money Final Reaction… pic.twitter.com/Rl7AE258eG

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 16, 2018

EUROZONE GAME CHANGER IS COMMING …

Brussels Protests ON…

Focus on

EURO with EUROZONE EQUTIES & BONDS

Smart Money Final Reaction… pic.twitter.com/8Fy6CDWzYK

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 16, 2018

ALL MARKETS in FED & POWELL HANDS…

FED Meeting – 19.12

after

BREXIT – MAY & ECB – DRAGHI DUST…

with

MACRON – YELLOW VESTS

Now

FED FUND FUTURES is 78.4% of Rate Hike

but

USD No Rising

EUR/USD 1.1344

GBP/USD 1.2608

Most important is SM Final Reaction pic.twitter.com/G019Zfziby

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 17, 2018

FED ONLY MATTERS…!!!

in Markets World with F/X in the First Place…

FED Fund Futures – 69.7%

USD under Pressure

DXY 96.25

EUR/USD 1.1408

GBP/USD 1.2653

F/X FIGHTING in Most Important Key Levels Zone

SM Reaction after FED & Powell shows True Market Direction pic.twitter.com/aS4KfNZ5NU

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 19, 2018

FED – the Day After…

USD Dynamic Wave Down

EUR/USD back above 1.14 ( 1.1465 )

GBP/USD back above 1.2660 ( 1.2678 )

ASIAN & European Equities Shot Down

Mainstream Media

Yesterday FED Not Enough Dovish

vs

Today Enough…

Media & Smart money in F/X Action… pic.twitter.com/FNXyU1n3AL

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 20, 2018

FED – CENTRAL MOTIVE in SMART MONEY F/X GAME

FED by Mainstream Media :

First – Not Enough Dovish

Second – Enough

Final – Awakening & Back to Basic.

with

UK & EUROZONE Problems on 2019 Horizon

DXY 96.15

EUR/USD 1.1415

GBP/USD 1.2640

Important EOD & EOW pic.twitter.com/2nRmackOrs

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 20, 2018

TRUMP – SYRIA EXIT – NEW GEOPOLITICAL MOTIVE

Special Gift for PUTIN & ASAD…

Most Important Final Wall Street & USD Reaction

with

EOW pic.twitter.com/rPxygZI0gq

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 20, 2018

Defense Secretary James Mattis Resigns…

New Geopolitical RISK OFF Factor

USD Rising…

after Yesterday Shot Down

DXY 96.20

EUR/USD 1.1400

GBP/USD 1.2650

Important EOD & EOW pic.twitter.com/RbzGkEcq6n

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 21, 2018

US Q3 GDP Revised to 3.4% from 3.5% Y/Y

US Macro supports USD for Now…

DXY 96.15

EUR/USD 1.1408

GBP/USD 1.2655

Most Important Smart Money Final Reaction

with

EOD & EOW pic.twitter.com/HCPHwHIOgM

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 21, 2018

Fight for Catalan Independence…

Geopolitical Boomerang…

EUROPEAN UNION EUROZONE & EURO RISK OFF Factor Strikes Again…

Focus on Spain Assets

with

EURO Currency

EUR/USD – Key Level 1.13 pic.twitter.com/wRY3gJz5Lr

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 22, 2018

from MACRON OMEN. to MACRON NIGHTMARE…

EURO SOJUZ with EURO can be shot down in 2019….

Focus on France Assets

with

EURO Currency

EUR/USD – Key Level 1.13 pic.twitter.com/LTwvVsAdYh

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 22, 2018

VERBAL FIGHTING with FED….

Classic Trump Motive…

like always remember

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction…

DXY 96.03 – Key Level 96

EUR/USD 1.1413 – Key Level 1.14

GBP/USD 1.12715 – Key Level 1.27

Focus on EOD pic.twitter.com/RZqWcVTXo7

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) December 24, 2018

POWELL WORDS in F/X Focus…

FED RATE HIKES Projection on Smart Money Horizon

Key Levels

DXY 97.50 vs 96

EUR/USD 1.1350-80 – 1.14 vs 1.1430-50

GBP/USD 1.2660-80 vs 1.27-1.2730-50

Always Remember

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction pic.twitter.com/F4Ysa2xDyc

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 4, 2019

DOVISH POWELL strikes…

Key Levels

DXY 97.50 vs 96

EUR/USD 1.1350-80 – 1.14 vs 1.1430-50

GBP/USD 1.2660-80 – 1.27 vs 1.2730-50

like always

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction

with

Today EOD pic.twitter.com/VXbCzWCEJv

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 4, 2019

DOVISH POWELL F/X Wave loses Momentum

DXY Active Defence Key Level 95.50 Zone

EUR/USD Back < 1.14

DXY 95.78

EUR/USD 1.1395

GBP/USD 1.2718

DXY 95.50 vs 96

EUR/USD 1.1350-80 vs 1.14 1.1430-50

GBP/USD 1.2660-80 – 1.2700 vs 1.2730-50

Most Importatnt EOD & EOW pic.twitter.com/WYOtkzHxtv

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 4, 2019

New Smart Money RISK OFF Motive

Schumer Words

Trump threatened to keep the shutdown going for "months or even years…"

Focus on Monday F/X & Wall Street SM Reaction…

especially after

Friday Powell Dovish Wall Street Euphory Wave … pic.twitter.com/b1w6eQyNEj

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 5, 2019

MACRON OMEN Continuation…

FRANCE & EUROZONE RISK OFF Factor

Yellow Vests 1st Protest of 2019

Monday European Markets Reaction

shows

Truth Smart Money Involvement in this French Motive… pic.twitter.com/E9vGtjYH5l

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 5, 2019

WALL US – MEXICO RISK OFF Factor

Focus on

TRUMP Next Move

&

DXY with USD/MXN Smart Money Final Reaction… pic.twitter.com/5NM5X98Tmd

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 6, 2019

German Gotterdammerung

Germany's Industrial Production fell 4.7% Y/Y

Most since December 2009

but like always

Most Important is SM Final Reaction…

on

EUR/USD & DAX

Key Levels

EUR/USD 1.14 – 1.1450 vs 1.15

DAX 10.800 vs 11.000

Now Focus on US Direction pic.twitter.com/7SgtFhazmn

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 8, 2019

FED MINUTES – Main F/X Motive…

DXY Active Defence Key Levels 95 – 95.30 Zone

EUR/USD still under < F/X EQUATOR 1.15

DXY 95.38

EUR/USD 1.1458

GBP/USD 1.2748

like always

Most Important is SM Final Reaction… pic.twitter.com/Yw3fZkTWGm

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 9, 2019

FITCH US RATING WARNING

Possible Cut to US AAA Rating

but

No USD Shot Down

DXY still Active Defence Key Levels 95 – 95.30 Zone

EUR/USD still under < F/X EQUATOR 1.15

DXY 95.44

EUR/USD 1.1450

GBP/USD 1.2733

Most Important is SM Final Reaction

with

FED Minutes pic.twitter.com/boWOU3waVV

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 9, 2019

FED MINUTES Central Motive

TIMING OF FUTURE HIKES AS LESS CLEAR

Now Special Focus SM Final F/X Move..

Master Key Levels

DXY 95

EUR/USD 1.15

GBP/USD 1.28

Important EOD pic.twitter.com/A8XimLBCnR

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 9, 2019

The Day after FED Minutes

FED MINUTES DOVISH-er than expected

" Dovish-er " – New Mainstream Media FOMC Key Word

DXY < 95 ( 94.88 )

EUR/USD > F/X EQUATOR 1.15 ( 1.1535 )

but

GBP/USD < 1.28 ( 1.2758 )

Now Waiting for Confirmation ( EOD )

with

Today ECB Minutes pic.twitter.com/ZP7oj07zpP

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 10, 2019

ECB Minutes in F/X Focus

after

Dovish-er FED Minutes

DXY < 95 ( 94.91 )

EUR/USD > F/X EQUATOR 1.15 ( 1.1528 )

GBP/USD < 1.28 ( 1.2750 )

ATA Investment Conclusion

USD Wave Down need Today Confirmation ( EOD )

with

SM Reaction on ECB Minutes… pic.twitter.com/KsaLudIqB0

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 10, 2019

ECB MINUTES Central Motive

RISKS are ROTATING in UNCERTAIN ENVIRONMENT

F/X SM Reaction

No EURO Wave Up

DXY < 95 ( 94.88 )

EUR/USD > F/X EQUATOR 1.15 ( 1.1533 )

GBP/USD < 1.28 ( 1.2735 )

Remember

USD Wave Down need Today Confirmation ( EOD ) pic.twitter.com/32p6uEoUZE

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 10, 2019

FED NEW WORDS

Barkin , Bullard , Powell & Evans in F/X Focus

after

ECB Minutes

Now

DXY < 95 ( 94.88 )

EUR/USD > F/X EQUATOR 1.15 ( 1.1533 )

GBP/USD < 1.28 ( 1.2735 )

Remember

Most Important is Final SM Reaction

p.s.

USD Wave Down need Confirmation ( EOD ) pic.twitter.com/KGXRUKO3f7

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 10, 2019

FED – POWELL STRIKES BACK

QT WILL BE CONTINUING

DXY Up > Key Level 95 ( 95.21 )

EUR/USD Down < 1.15 ( 1.1485 )

GBP/USD Back < 1.2750 ( 1.2744 )

Now Intraday

USD Wave Down is Canceled

&

USD Wave Up need Confirmation ( EOD )

Most Important is Final SM Reaction pic.twitter.com/4rIC2uzJ3K

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 10, 2019

FED VS ECB

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction ( EOD & EOW )

Master Key Levels

DXY – 95

EUR/USD – 1.15

Now

95.13

1.1495 pic.twitter.com/4ZUFhKuR6V

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 10, 2019

EUR/USD after FED & ECB Verbal Central Motives

Present Key Level 1.15 – F/X EQUATOR

Now

EUR/USD Balancing Intraday in 1.15 Zone

Focus on

Today EOD & Tomorrow EOW

p.s

Don't Forget about DXY Key Level 95 pic.twitter.com/Q7fZWIK5YW

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 10, 2019

FED REAL STRATEGY 2019

Talk Dovish & Dovisher…

while

Reducing the Balance Sheet…

ATA Investment Conclusion

like always

Most Important is Final F/X Smart Money Reaction

with

Master Key Levels

DXY 95

&

EUR/USD 1.15 – F/X EQUATOR… pic.twitter.com/4pMaSRA9IS

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 10, 2019

GREECE RISK OFF Factor strikes again

Anti-Merkel protest in Athens

EURO Stop Rising after FED & ECB Minutes

vs

EUR/USD > Key Level 1.15 – F/X EQUATOR

DXY still in 95 Key Level Zone

Now

EUR/USD 1.1518

DXY 95.00

like always

Key is EOD & EOW pic.twitter.com/l1RRKkhQz7

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 11, 2019

Italy Industrial Production month-on-month at -1.6%

Italian Macro doesn't support EURO…

Now

EUR/USD 1.1515

DXY 95.00

Important EOD & EOW pic.twitter.com/q5bHd7ImVR

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 11, 2019

ECB – Nowotny Verbal Impulse :

EUROZONE Growth rates will be slower but stay in positive territory

ATA Investment Conclusion

without ECB QE European Ecomomic Engine can be stopped

p.s.

Who will buy ITALIAN DEBT then?

EUR/USD ends week < 1.15 – F/X EQUATOR

1.1469 pic.twitter.com/wCHygIVnJ8

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 12, 2019

REAL POLITICAL EUROPEAN SCENARIO
not only cartoon…

NEW vs OLD Dual Power

SALVINI – KACZYŃSKI

vs

MERKEL – MACRON

Focus on

EUR/USD – 1.15 – F/X EQUATOR

with

European Debt…special Italian…. pic.twitter.com/7v7swEjxRG

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 12, 2019

France RISK OFF Factor strikes back again

Paris Yellow Vest Protesters

MACRON Factor – from OMEN to NIGHTMARE

Focus on SM Reaction on France & EUROZONE Assets

of course with

EURO & France Debt in First Place

EUR/USD – Master Key Level 1.15https://t.co/dYsBlxHt62 pic.twitter.com/UPqmabxx3I

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 13, 2019

EURO Master Central Key

Focus carefully on

EUR/USD – 1.15 – F/X EQUATOR pic.twitter.com/N5lsjlJ6ja

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 13, 2019

ECB – DRAGHI New Verbal Strike

DRAGHI Speech

RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS have been WEAKER than EXPECTED

ATA Investment Conclusion

ECB European QE Worthless…!!!

p.s.

only to Rescue Italy by buying Italian Debt…

EUR/USD Wave Down…

Test Key Level 1.14 pic.twitter.com/BwHVUnpRx5

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 15, 2019

US DEBT SOCIALISM …!!!

that's why

ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!!

Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…https://t.co/9NlaOKoo21 pic.twitter.com/eCGA0ohASy

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) January 17, 2019

Second…

Present EUR/USD Situation

ATA MARKET MODEL IN ACTION

First…Market Motives :

US vs EUROZONE :

Economic Cycle Peak Risk

Present & Future Slowdown

Macro Data

FED – Powell Dovish & Dovisher – FED TIME GAME

TRUMP vs FED & Powell

ECB End of QE

DEBT/ GDP Ratio

TRUMP – Mexico Wall

TRUMP – IRAN & SYRIA

MACRON & SALVINI – Political Risk

FITCH US RATING WARNING

European Parliament Election – May 2019

Second…Market Technical Pattern :

EUR/USD Last Months shows F/X VERDUN…

Invert 2B Pattern in Key Level 1.13

Invert Ending Diagonal

with

Key Level 1.12 Zone

( Fib Ret 61.8% – All Wave Up 2017 – 2018 )

F/X EQUATOR – Key Level 1.15

with

FIB RET Monthly , Weekly & Daily

MACD Monthly & Daily Sell Signals

MACD Weekly Buy Signal

ATA EUR/USD Present Investment Conclusion

All Time…from August 2018

Against All Odds…

from

ITALY , France & EUROZONE with ECB

US TRUMP & FED – Powell …

EUR/USD

is still in

Master Range ( 1.12 – 1.13 vs 1.15 )

In the end decides…

Result of the Test

F/X EQUATOR – Key Level 1.15

Last Support Zone Key Levels 1.12 – 1.13

N – TIMES

CENTRAL FIGHT – ECB vs FED – Master Factor for EUR/USD

US MACRO vs EUROZONE MACRO

with

ITALIAN & FRANCE vs TRUMP MOTIVE STORY

are

Master Key Motives for EUR/USD

but Finally …

F/X Maxim

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….

EUR/USD Monthly , Weekly , Daily & Intraday ( H4 & H5 ) Charts :

20.03.2014

08.03.2015

18.07.2017

01.09.2017

13.01.2018

16.01.2018

25.01.2018

26.07.2018

27.07.2018

27.07.2018 ( EOD )

6.08.2018

( before European Trading Session )

6.08.2018

( before American Trading Session )

7.08.2018

( before European Trading Session )

8.08.2018

( before European Trading Session )

10.08.2018

( before European Trading Session )

10.08.2018

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW)

17.08.2018

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW)

22.08.2018

( Start European Session )

24.08.2018

( Middle Time of European Session )

27.08.2018

( Start of European Session )

28.08.2018

( Start of European Session )

29.08.2018

( Before Start of American F/X Session )

13.09.2018

( Start of European Session )

21.09.2018

( Start of European Session )

25.09.2018

( Start of European Session )

28.09.2018

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW)

5.10.2018

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW)

11.10.2018

( Start of American Session )

25.10.2018

( Middle of European Session )

2.11.2018

( Start of American Session )

8.11.2018

( Before American Session )

19.11.2018

( First Phase of American Session )

18.01.2019

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW)

EUR/USD – F/X VERDUN…

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