SWISS FRANC – NO RISK OFF REVENGE…

ATA Continuation of…

SWISS STORY   2013  –  2016

SWISS STORM…

” European Recovery ” vs EUR/CHF…

OIL & GOLD FACTORS – RUSSIAN RULETTE & SWISS BLACK JACK

US DOLLAR PEAK vs SWISS FRANC & OIL FREAK…

SWISS FRANC UPDATE…

CHF – ( ENDLESS..!!??? ) SWISS KISS…

&

Last

20.09 2018  –  SWISS FRANC Strategic Picture vs SNB Efforts…

29.09.2018  –  SWISS SAFE HAVEN…

14.10.2018  –  SWISS FRANC still on the CURRENCY WAVE…

15.11.2018 –  SWISS FRANC – NO NEW RISK OFF SIGNS…

 

 

SWISS FRANC – NO RISK OFF REVENGE..

other than

YEN  – RISK OFF REVENGE..

17.01.2019 –  YEN – RISK OFF REVENGE…

 

NO  SWISS RISK OFF Wave

even during

Global December Sell Off 

WALL STREET  &  NASDAQ  Panic

&

Bonds Rally

vs

Still Active RISK OFF Motives :

SLOWDOWN – even in Germany  & US

ITALY DEFICIT & DEBT  –  ITALIAN GOVERMENT  vs  EU & ECB 

FRANCE – Macron Omen –  Yellow Vests Protests 

BREXIT  Turmoil 

US Goverment Shutdown 

 

swiss franc v

 

N – TIMES…

Most Important  is Smart Money Reaction…!!! 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…

ATA from  15.11.2018

” SWISS FRANC   Situation 

Main Motive 

GLOBAL & EUROZONE RISK OFF Factors – ON

vs

SWISS FRANC – OFF 

USD/CHF & EUR/CHF     STOP  SWISS  Domination  Patterns  “

 

 

Second…

Present  SWISS FRANC   Situation 

Still Active RISK OFF Motives :

SLOWDOWN – even in Germany  & US

ITALY DEFICIT & DEBT  –  ITALIAN GOVERMENT  vs  EU & ECB 

FRANCE – Macron Omen –  Yellow Vests Protests 

BREXIT  Turmoil 

US Goverment Shutdown 

 

still active

GLOBAL & EUROZONE RISK OFF Factors – ON

vs

SWISS FRANC – OFF 

although

 

&

US Bonds Rally 

16.01.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

 

&

Technical Patterns  :

SWISS FRANC FUTURES  ( Monthly  Chart )

Long Term  H&S Pattern

Present Key Levels :  1.00 & 0.99

&

USD/CHF & EUR/CHF     STOP  SWISS  Domination  Patterns 

( Monthly  Charts )

Special on

EUR/CHF –  Key Level 1.13 

EUR/CHF MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

 

USD/CHF –  Psychological  Key Level 1.00

USD/CHF MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

stricte Cross Currency Move

from  EUR/USD

 

GBP/CHF –  Main Key Level  1.25 & 1.28  

GBP/CHF MACD Monthly  Sell  Signal 

 

 

Finally… 

ATA Investment Conclusion

CHF – Both RISK OFF  Vectors   still  OFF 

  vs

Global December RISK OFF

of course

CHF  still is  CURRENCY SAFE HAVEN…

but Now …

Investors  still don’t Escape to this  SAFE CURRENCY 

 

USD/CHF  &  EUR/CHF  

still dominated

STOP  RISK OFF Reaction 

even if

Mainstream Media  still created 

New BREXIT, EUROZONE, ITALY & GLOBAL RISKS… 

 

Present  SWISS FRANC  Key Levels  

USD/CHF   1.00   vs  1.03 – 1.05 

EUR/CHF    1.13  vs   1.15 

GBP/CHF    1.25  vs   1.28 

of course keep in mind

January  EOM

 

 

always remember

SWISS FRANC  is  still  , 10 years after Lehman, Special  RISK ON/OFF  Vector  for Wall Street  & other Equities…

15.09.2018 –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

 

SWISS FRANC  Long  Term Monthly Charts :

 

28.09.2013 –  Swiss Franc Futures 

sf_f_w (1)

sf_f_d

2.02.2014 –  EUR/CHF 

eurchf_m 

18.01.2015 –  Swiss Franc  Futures 

SWISS FRANC M

13.06.2016 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

EURCHF(Monthly)20160613142839

USDCHF(Monthly)20160613143337

20.09.2018 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

EUR-CHF -M

USD-CHF -M

28.09.2018 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

EUR-CHF -M-1

USD-CHF -M-1

12.10.2018 –  EUR/CHF & USD/CHF

USD-CHF -M

EUR-CHF -M

15.10.2018 –  EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES

EUR-CHF -MUSD-CHF -M

GBP-CHF -M

CHF FUT - M

17.01.2019 –  EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES

eur-chf -musd-chf -mgbp-chf -mchf fut - mchf fut - line - m

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